Abstract:Monitoring binomial proportions across multiple independent streams is a critical challenge in Statistical Process Control (SPC), with applications from manufacturing to cybersecurity. While EWMA charts offer sensitivity to small shifts, existing implementations rely on asymptotic variance approximations that fail during early-phase monitoring. We introduce a Cumulative Standardized Binomial EWMA (CSB-EWMA) chart that overcomes this limitation by deriving the exact time-varying variance of the EWMA statistic for binary multiple-stream data, enabling adaptive control limits that ensure statistical rigor from the first sample. Through extensive simulations, we identify optimal smoothing (λ) and limit (L) parameters to achieve target in-control average run length (ARL0) of 370 and 500. The CSB-EWMA chart demonstrates rapid shift detection across both ARL0 targets, with out-of-control average run length (ARL1) dropping to 3-7 samples for moderate shifts (δ=0.2), and exhibits exceptional robustness across different data distributions, with low ARL1 Coefficients of Variation (CV < 0.10 for small shifts) for both ARL0 = 370 and 500. This work provides practitioners with a distribution-free, sensitive, and theoretically sound tool for early change detection in binomial multiple-stream processes.




Abstract:Autonomous motorsports aim to replicate the human racecar driver with software and sensors. As in traditional motorsports, Autonomous Racing Vehicles (ARVs) are pushed to their handling limits in multi-agent scenarios at extremely high ($\geq 150mph$) speeds. This Operational Design Domain (ODD) presents unique challenges across the autonomy stack. The Indy Autonomous Challenge (IAC) is an international competition aiming to advance autonomous vehicle development through ARV competitions. While far from challenging what a human racecar driver can do, the IAC is pushing the state of the art by facilitating full-sized ARV competitions. This paper details the MIT-Pitt-RW Team's approach to autonomous racing in the IAC. In this work, we present our modular and fast approach to agent detection, motion planning and controls to create an autonomy stack. We also provide analysis of the performance of the software stack in single and multi-agent scenarios for rapid deployment in a fast-paced competition environment. We also cover what did and did not work when deployed on a physical system the Dallara AV-21 platform and potential improvements to address these shortcomings. Finally, we convey lessons learned and discuss limitations and future directions for improvement.