Data-Free Reservoir Features for Efficient Long-Horizon Cold-Start Continual Learning

Cold-start exemplar-free class-incremental learning requires learning a growing set of classes without replay, external pretraining, or a large initial task. Existing cold-start methods typically either train the backbone throughout the stream and compensate for semantic drift, or freeze a backbone after the first task, producing features biased toward the initial classes. These choices also create a computational tension: drift-compensation methods require repeated backbone training and increasingly expensive updates as the task horizon grows, while frozen-backbone methods are cheap but weak under cold start. We study a third option: a feature extractor that is never fit to image data at all. We propose CIRCLE, a class-incremental classifier built from fixed bidirectional two-dimensional reservoir features, adapted from BiRC2D for image classification, and streaming linear discriminant analysis heads. CIRCLE groups multiple random reservoir instantiations into feature ensembles and averages the softmax outputs of independent SLDA heads, yielding a tunable bias-variance tradeoff between richer random features and prediction-level ensembling. Because the feature extractor is fixed and the head admits streaming closed-form updates, CIRCLE performs sample-wise training without replay, task-boundary information, or backbone backpropagation. On CIFAR-100, TinyImageNet, ImageNet-Subset, and ImageNet-1k, CIRCLE is competitive at 10-20 task splits and substantially outperforms strong CS-EFCIL baselines at 50, 100, and 500 task splits, while training much faster than trained-backbone drift-compensation methods. Ablations show that the BiRC2D-style extractor, SLDA head, and balanced feature/prediction ensembling each contribute to the final performance.

Social Processes: Probabilistic Meta-learning for Adaptive Multiparty Interaction Forecasting

Adaptively forecasting human behavior in social settings is an important step toward achieving Artificial General Intelligence. Most existing research in social forecasting has focused either on unfocused interactions, such as pedestrian trajectory prediction, or on monadic and dyadic behavior forecasting. In contrast, social psychology emphasizes the importance of group interactions for understanding complex social dynamics. This creates a gap that we address in this paper: forecasting social interactions at the group (conversation) level. Additionally, it is important for a forecasting model to be able to adapt to groups unseen at train time, as even the same individual behaves differently across different groups. This highlights the need for a forecasting model to explicitly account for each group's unique dynamics. To achieve this, we adopt a meta-learning approach to human behavior forecasting, treating every group as a separate meta-learning task. As a result, our method conditions its predictions on the specific behaviors within the group, leading to generalization to unseen groups. Specifically, we introduce Social Process (SP) models, which predict a distribution over future multimodal cues jointly for all group members based on their preceding low-level multimodal cues, while incorporating other past sequences of the same group's interactions. In this work we also analyze the generalization capabilities of SP models in both their outputs and latent spaces through the use of realistic synthetic datasets.