STCAD: Scalable Trajectory Clustering and Anomaly Detection on Terabyte-Scale AIS Data

We present a scalable framework for unsupervised clustering of maritime trajectories derived from terabyte-scale Automatic Identification System (AIS) archives. Variable-length trajectories are encoded with a custom BERT-based model trained via masked token modeling and clustered using CURE hierarchical clustering, producing physically interpretable trajectory groups without requiring a predefined number of clusters. An intrinsic unsupervised anomaly detection method based on reconstruction loss and clustering noise assignment identifies irregular navigation patterns. The framework is demonstrated on a national-scale AIS dataset comprising billions of messages spanning one year, yielding stable trajectory clusters and a clear separation between nominal and anomalous vessel behavior.

CRHT: A Continuous Regression Hybrid Transformer for Vessel Trajectory Prediction with Online Cluster Sampling

Accurate vessel trajectory prediction is critical for maritime safety and anomaly detection, yet existing models often struggle with geographic bias and navigational realism. We propose the Continuous Regression Hybrid Transformer (CRHT), a deep learning framework designed to forecast vessel motion using Automatic Identification System (AIS) data. To mitigate spatial data imbalance, we introduce an online K-means cluster sampling strategy that ensures diverse exposure to rare maneuvers during training. Our hybrid architecture integrates 1D convolutional layers for local kinematic feature extraction with a multi-head attention mechanism for global temporal context. CRHT demonstrates superior performance in short-term forecasting, achieving the lowest errors at the 1-hour horizon. The results demonstrate that while discrete models provide high navigational stability over long horizons, CRHT offers an optimal balance of precision and maneuver tracking for real-time maritime surveillance.