Denoising the US Census: Succinct Block Hierarchical Regression

The US Census Bureau Disclosure Avoidance System (DAS) balances confidentiality and utility requirements for the decennial US Census (Abowd et al., 2022). The DAS was used in the 2020 Census to produce demographic datasets critically used for legislative apportionment and redistricting, federal and state funding allocation, municipal and infrastructure planning, and scientific research. At the heart of DAS is TopDown, a heuristic post-processing method that combines billions of private noisy measurements across six geographic levels in order to produce new estimates that are consistent, more accurate, and satisfy certain structural constraints on the data. In this work, we introduce BlueDown, a new post-processing method that produces more accurate, consistent estimates while satisfying the same privacy guarantees and structural constraints. We obtain especially large accuracy improvements for aggregates at the county and tract levels on evaluation metrics proposed by the US Census Bureau. From a technical perspective, we develop a new algorithm for generalized least-squares regression that leverages the hierarchical structure of the measurements and that is statistically optimal among linear unbiased estimators. This reduces the computational dependence on the number of geographic regions measured from matrix multiplication time, which would be infeasible for census-scale data, to linear time. We incorporate the additional structural constraints by combining this regression algorithm with an optimization routine that extends TDA to support correlated measurements. We further improve the efficiency of our algorithm using succinct linear-algebraic operations that exploit symmetries in the structure of the measurements and constraints. We believe our hierarchical regression and succinct operations to be of independent interest.

Urania: Differentially Private Insights into AI Use

We introduce $Urania$, a novel framework for generating insights about LLM chatbot interactions with rigorous differential privacy (DP) guarantees. The framework employs a private clustering mechanism and innovative keyword extraction methods, including frequency-based, TF-IDF-based, and LLM-guided approaches. By leveraging DP tools such as clustering, partition selection, and histogram-based summarization, $Urania$ provides end-to-end privacy protection. Our evaluation assesses lexical and semantic content preservation, pair similarity, and LLM-based metrics, benchmarking against a non-private Clio-inspired pipeline (Tamkin et al., 2024). Moreover, we develop a simple empirical privacy evaluation that demonstrates the enhanced robustness of our DP pipeline. The results show the framework's ability to extract meaningful conversational insights while maintaining stringent user privacy, effectively balancing data utility with privacy preservation.

Efficiently Estimating Erdos-Renyi Graphs with Node Differential Privacy

We give a simple, computationally efficient, and node-differentially-private algorithm for estimating the parameter of an Erdos-Renyi graph---that is, estimating p in a G(n,p)---with near-optimal accuracy. Our algorithm nearly matches the information-theoretically optimal exponential-time algorithm for the same problem due to Borgs et al. (FOCS 2018). More generally, we give an optimal, computationally efficient, private algorithm for estimating the edge-density of any graph whose degree distribution is concentrated on a small interval.