DeCo-MIL: Debiased Counterfactual Reasoning for Long-Tailed Whole Slide Image Analysis

Multiple instance learning (MIL) is widely used for weakly supervised whole slide image (WSI) analysis. However, under long-tailed distributions, MIL-based WSI analysis faces a nested dual long-tail: an inter-slide class long tail and an intra-slide long tail of instance-level discriminative evidence. The two long tails are coupled: tail classes have few training slides, while their limited diagnostic evidence is concentrated in a few patches and obscured by abundant within-bag redundancy. This coupling biases models toward head classes and degrades rare-class recognition. To address this, we propose DeCo-MIL for long-tailed WSI analysis, which jointly alleviates the nested dual long-tail through frequency-debiased counterfactual reasoning. For the inner long tail, DeCo-MIL clusters patches into tissue-morphology anchors, replaces each anchor with its matched normal prototype to perform a counterfactual intervention, and estimates its counterfactual contribution to the ground-truth class using class-frequency-corrected predictions. These contributions guide redundancy masking to preserve scarce discriminative instances. For the outer long tail, DeCo-MIL constructs anchor-stratified pseudo-bags from redundancy-reduced bags and combines tail-aware oversampling with consistency regularization, increasing effective supervision for tail classes while preserving tissue-morphology composition. Extensive experiments on three long-tailed WSI benchmarks demonstrate that DeCo-MIL achieves state-of-the-art performance in both tail-class recognition and overall classification.