Compensating data shortages in manufacturing with monotonicity knowledge

We present a regression method for enhancing the predictive power of a model by exploiting expert knowledge in the form of shape constraints, or more specifically, monotonicity constraints. Incorporating such information is particularly useful when the available data sets are small or do not cover the entire input space, as is often the case in manufacturing applications. We set up the regression subject to the considered monotonicity constraints as a semi-infinite optimization problem, and we propose an adaptive solution algorithm. The method is conceptually simple, applicable in multiple dimensions and can be extended to more general shape constraints. It is tested and validated on two real-world manufacturing processes, namely laser glass bending and press hardening of sheet metal. It is found that the resulting models both comply well with the expert's monotonicity knowledge and predict the training data accurately. The suggested approach leads to lower root-mean-squared errors than comparative methods from the literature for the sparse data sets considered in this work.