Bayesian Classification with Probit-link Split-and-merge Gaussian Process Prior in EEG-based Brain-Computer Interfaces

A Brain-Computer Interface (BCI) speller systems based on Event-Related Potentials (ERPs) enables users to select characters by detecting brain responses to visual stimuli, recorded through electroencephalogram (EEG). One challenge is to accurately identify target-related responses, such as the P300 component. However, existing methods tend to ignore feature selection, perform feature selection without interpretability, or require large computational effort or data manipulation. To address these limitations, we propose a novel Bayesian generative modeling framework to the binary classification of EEG responses to stimuli. Our approach employs a Probit-link Split-and-merge Gaussian Process (P-SMGP) prior to perform spatial-temporal feature selection, effectively capturing the distinctions between target and non-target ERP responses. Through both simulation studies and real EEG data analysis, our approach can reduce computational complexity and provide statistical interpretations on transformed ERP functions while maintaining comparable prediction accuracy. These findings underscore the value of interpretable, stimulus-level modeling for advancing predictive and personalized BCI systems.