Fusing Stylometric and Embedding Systems to Estimate Authorship Likelihood Ratios in Japanese

The likelihood ratio framework is widely recognized as the logically and legally sound basis for evidential analysis across forensic sciences, and its importance is increasingly acknowledged in analyses of authorship in textual evidence. To date, however, its application has been confined to English-language texts. Meanwhile, authorship attribution has traditionally relied on a diverse array of stylometric features, even as the rise of pre-trained large language models enables new contextual-embedding approaches. Combining these diverse approaches through fusion promises enhanced performance, yet it has not been applied to integrate stylometric-feature systems with embedding-based systems within the likelihood ratio paradigm. This study is the first to apply likelihood ratio-based forensic text comparison to Japanese digital texts, using ~1,000-character excerpts from blogs, to 1) evaluate system performance and likelihood ratio magnitudes and 2) assess the impact of fusing stylometric-feature systems with embedding-based systems. The results demonstrate that the fused system maintains excellent calibration while 1) increasing consistent-with-fact likelihood ratio magnitudes; 2) decreasing contrary-to-fact likelihood ratio magnitudes and 3) improving overall discriminability. The best-performing fusion achieved a log-likelihood-ratio cost of 0.32484, illustrating both the feasibility of likelihood ratio framework for Japanese and the benefits of fusion across heterogeneous systems.

Integrated ensemble of BERT- and features-based models for authorship attribution in Japanese literary works

Traditionally, authorship attribution (AA) tasks relied on statistical data analysis and classification based on stylistic features extracted from texts. In recent years, pre-trained language models (PLMs) have attracted significant attention in text classification tasks. However, although they demonstrate excellent performance on large-scale short-text datasets, their effectiveness remains under-explored for small samples, particularly in AA tasks. Additionally, a key challenge is how to effectively leverage PLMs in conjunction with traditional feature-based methods to advance AA research. In this study, we aimed to significantly improve performance using an integrated integrative ensemble of traditional feature-based and modern PLM-based methods on an AA task in a small sample. For the experiment, we used two corpora of literary works to classify 10 authors each. The results indicate that BERT is effective, even for small-sample AA tasks. Both BERT-based and classifier ensembles outperformed their respective stand-alone models, and the integrated ensemble approach further improved the scores significantly. For the corpus that was not included in the pre-training data, the integrated ensemble improved the F1 score by approximately 14 points, compared to the best-performing single model. Our methodology provides a viable solution for the efficient use of the ever-expanding array of data processing tools in the foreseeable future.

Distinguishing ChatGPT(-3.5, -4)-generated and human-written papers through Japanese stylometric analysis

Text-generative artificial intelligence (AI), including ChatGPT, equipped with GPT-3.5 and GPT-4, from OpenAI, has attracted considerable attention worldwide. In this study, first, we compared Japanese stylometric features generated by GPT (-3.5 and -4) and those written by humans. In this work, we performed multi-dimensional scaling (MDS) to confirm the distributions of 216 texts of three classes (72 academic papers written by 36 single authors, 72 texts generated by GPT-3.5, and 72 texts generated by GPT-4 on the basis of the titles of the aforementioned papers) focusing on the following stylometric features: (1) bigrams of parts-of-speech, (2) bigram of postpositional particle words, (3) positioning of commas, and (4) rate of function words. MDS revealed distinct distributions at each stylometric feature of GPT (-3.5 and -4) and human. Although GPT-4 is more powerful than GPT-3.5 because it has more parameters, both GPT (-3.5 and -4) distributions are likely to overlap. These results indicate that although the number of parameters may increase in the future, AI-generated texts may not be close to that written by humans in terms of stylometric features. Second, we verified the classification performance of random forest (RF) for two classes (GPT and human) focusing on Japanese stylometric features. This study revealed the high performance of RF in each stylometric feature. Furthermore, the RF classifier focusing on the rate of function words achieved 98.1% accuracy. The RF classifier focusing on all stylometric features reached 100% in terms of all performance indexes (accuracy, recall, precision, and F1 score). This study concluded that at this stage we human discriminate ChatGPT from human limited to Japanese language.