Structure, Association, and Decision Value: Representation-Based Difficulty Estimation for Adaptive Inference in African-Language NLI

We ask whether internal representation statistics can provide useful example-level difficulty signals for adaptive inference in multilingual African NLP, and find that they cannot in this setting. Studying natural language inference across 15 African languages with frozen off-the-shelf checkpoints, we report four results. First, AfriXNLI's English configuration shares 1,047 of its 1,050 examples verbatim with XNLI evaluation data, and one widely used NLI checkpoint scores 1.000 on that test split, consistent with XNLI test exposure. Because AfriXNLI is derived from XNLI, its English, French and Swahili configurations cannot serve as clean evaluations for XNLI-trained models. Second, parameter count does not reliably order capability across African languages: our larger checkpoint is better in seven languages and worse in eight, with no significant aggregate difference. Third, across three multilingual representation spaces, angular dispersion is consistently more language-determined than effective rank, so pooled correlations can inflate one and mask the other. Fourth, the association that survives language control depends on the target: effective rank predicts probability gain from escalation but not whether escalation changes the prediction, while cheap-model confidence shows the opposite pattern; the two targets correlate at only 0.655. Under the tested models, signals, and compute budgets, no evaluated signal makes adaptive routing preferable to always-expensive inference, although an oracle exceeds it by 11 accuracy points at 60% of the compute. Our central methodological finding is that a representation statistic can be statistically significant for one notion of computational benefit while being irrelevant to another, and therefore be a poor decision variable.

A Matched Spectral Benchmark of Quantum Inspired Feature Maps

Quantum machine learning is often motivated by the idea that quantum systems can expose useful high-dimensional structure that is difficult to access with classical models. We isolate one central component of this claim: the fixed data-encoding map. Amplitude, angle, and basis encoding are evaluated as deterministic feature maps for classical supervised learning under matched output dimensionality and strong classical controls. The benchmark compares these encodings against raw linear models, random Fourier features, polynomial features, PCA, RBF SVMs, and shallow neural networks across diverse classical datasets. Rather than treating performance as a single endpoint, we analyze the geometry of each representation through effective rank, condition number, centered kernel alignment, predictive performance, and practical overhead. The resulting picture is mechanistic: amplitude encoding can remove magnitude information through unit-sphere normalization, angle encoding can become geometrically redundant with raw linear features, and basis encoding can impose a binary Hamming geometry that is poorly aligned with smooth decision structure. These findings do not argue against quantum computation, however, they show that fixed quantum-inspired encoding geometry alone is not a reliable source of machine-learning advantage on classical data.