SurF: A Generative Model for Multivariate Irregular Time Series Forecasting

Irregularly sampled multivariate event streams remain a stubbornly difficult modality for generative modeling: tokenization-based approaches break down when inter-event intervals vary by orders of magnitude, and neural temporal point processes are bottlenecked by window-level numerical quadrature. We (i) propose SurF, a generative model that uses the Time Rescaling Theorem (TRT) as a learnable bijection between event sequences and i.i.d.\ unit-rate exponential noise, enabling a single model to be trained across heterogeneous event-stream datasets; (ii) three efficient parameterizations of the cumulative intensity that scale to long sequences; and (iii) a Transformer-based encoder for multi-dataset pretraining. On six real-world benchmarks, SurF achieves the best reported time RMSE on Earthquake, Retweet, and Taobao, and is within trial-level noise of the strongest specialist on the remaining three. Under a strict leave-one-out protocol, the held-out checkpoint beats every classical and neural-autoregressive baseline on 5/6 datasets and beats every baseline on Amazon and Earthquake, an initial step toward foundation models over asynchronous event streams.

Flow to Learn: Flow Matching on Neural Network Parameters

Foundational language models show a remarkable ability to learn new concepts during inference via context data. However, similar work for images lag behind. To address this challenge, we introduce FLoWN, a flow matching model that learns to generate neural network parameters for different tasks. Our approach models the flow on latent space, while conditioning the process on context data. Experiments verify that FLoWN attains various desiderata for a meta-learning model. In addition, it matches or exceeds baselines on in-distribution tasks, provides better initializations for classifier training, and is performant on out-of-distribution few-shot tasks while having a fine-tuning mechanism to improve performance.

An Empirical Study of Aegis

Bit flipping attacks are one class of attacks on neural networks with numerous defense mechanisms invented to mitigate its potency. Due to the importance of ensuring the robustness of these defense mechanisms, we perform an empirical study on the Aegis framework. We evaluate the baseline mechanisms of Aegis on low-entropy data (MNIST), and we evaluate a pre-trained model with the mechanisms fine-tuned on MNIST. We also compare the use of data augmentation to the robustness training of Aegis, and how Aegis performs under other adversarial attacks, such as the generation of adversarial examples. We find that both the dynamic-exit strategy and robustness training of Aegis has some drawbacks. In particular, we see drops in accuracy when testing on perturbed data, and on adversarial examples, as compared to baselines. Moreover, we found that the dynamic exit-strategy loses its uniformity when tested on simpler datasets. The code for this project is available on GitHub.