Abstract:Solubility prediction is a standard benchmark in computational chemistry, yet multi-solvent models which reportedly approach the experimental-noise ceiling (i.e. the aleatoric limit) are not yet reliable enough to be deployed. We argue that this gap is partly artefactual: published benchmarks differ in curation policies, evaluate on count-weighted RMSE that hides failure on tail-heavy solvent distributions, and treat the widely cited 0.6-0.8 log S inter-laboratory figure as the aleatoric ceiling even though it reflects worst-case, not expected, disagreement. We introduce SC3, a multi-solvent solubility benchmark built on BigSolDB v2.1 with three contributions: (i) a reproducible curation pipeline yielding 101,535 measurements over 1,327 solutes and 206 solvents, with a recalibrated aleatoric floor of 0.106 log S-roughly 6 times tighter than the conventional figure; (ii) nested Gold/Silver/Bronze consensus tiers with per-point standard deviation, three leakage-checked splits, and a multi-solvent metric suite (PS-RMSE, Z-RMSE); and (iii) a 31-model benchmark across six families, whose best Bronze PS-RMSE sits at 5 times the aleatoric limit, and we observe this is a gap unclosed by any deep alternative tested. We perform three follow-on analyses: data scaling, transfer from quantum-chemistry solvation energies, and feature-level attribution, which demonstrates that calibrated per-point uncertainty is a reusable infrastructure for diagnosis beyond point prediction.
Abstract:Designing ligands that are both chemically valid and structurally compatible with protein binding pockets is a key bottleneck in computational drug discovery. Existing approaches either ignore structural context or rely on expensive, memory-intensive encoding that limits throughput and scalability. We present SiDGen (Structure-informed Diffusion Generator), a protein-conditioned diffusion framework that integrates masked SMILES generation with lightweight folding-derived features for pocket awareness. To balance expressivity with efficiency, SiDGen supports two conditioning pathways: a streamlined mode that pools coarse structural signals from protein embeddings and a full mode that injects localized pairwise biases for stronger coupling. A coarse-stride folding mechanism with nearest-neighbor upsampling alleviates the quadratic memory costs of pair tensors, enabling training on realistic sequence lengths. Learning stability is maintained through in-loop chemical validity checks and an invalidity penalty, while large-scale training efficiency is restored \textit{via} selective compilation, dataloader tuning, and gradient accumulation. In automated benchmarks, SiDGen generates ligands with high validity, uniqueness, and novelty, while achieving competitive performance in docking-based evaluations and maintaining reasonable molecular properties. These results demonstrate that SiDGen can deliver scalable, pocket-aware molecular design, providing a practical route to conditional generation for high-throughput drug discovery.