Physics-based Reduced Order Modeling for Uncertainty Quantification of Guided Wave Propagation using Bayesian Optimization

In the context of digital twins, structural health monitoring (SHM) constitutes the backbone of condition-based maintenance, facilitating the interconnection between virtual and physical assets. Guided wave propagation (GWP) is commonly employed for the inspection of structures in SHM. However, GWP is sensitive to variations in the material properties of the structure, leading to false alarms. In this direction, uncertainty quantification (UQ) is regularly applied to improve the reliability of predictions. Computational mechanics is a useful tool for the simulation of GWP, and is often applied for UQ. Even so, the application of UQ methods requires numerous simulations, while large-scale, transient numerical GWP solutions increase the computational cost. Reduced order models (ROMs) are commonly employed to provide numerical results in a limited amount of time. In this paper, we propose a machine learning (ML)-based ROM, mentioned as BO-ML-ROM, to decrease the computational time related to the simulation of the GWP. The ROM is integrated with a Bayesian optimization (BO) framework, to adaptively sample the parameters for the ROM training. The finite element method is used for the simulation of the high-fidelity models. The formulated ROM is used for forward UQ of the GWP in an aluminum plate with varying material properties. To determine the influence of each parameter perturbation, a global, variance-based sensitivity analysis is implemented based on Sobol' indices. It is shown that Bayesian optimization outperforms one-shot sampling methods, both in terms of accuracy and speed-up. The predicted results reveal the efficiency of BO-ML-ROM for GWP and demonstrate its value for UQ.

$\textit{FastSVD-ML-ROM}$: A Reduced-Order Modeling Framework based on Machine Learning for Real-Time Applications

Digital twins have emerged as a key technology for optimizing the performance of engineering products and systems. High-fidelity numerical simulations constitute the backbone of engineering design, providing an accurate insight into the performance of complex systems. However, large-scale, dynamic, non-linear models require significant computational resources and are prohibitive for real-time digital twin applications. To this end, reduced order models (ROMs) are employed, to approximate the high-fidelity solutions while accurately capturing the dominant aspects of the physical behavior. The present work proposes a new machine learning (ML) platform for the development of ROMs, to handle large-scale numerical problems dealing with transient nonlinear partial differential equations. Our framework, mentioned as $\textit{FastSVD-ML-ROM}$, utilizes $\textit{(i)}$ a singular value decomposition (SVD) update methodology, to compute a linear subspace of the multi-fidelity solutions during the simulation process, $\textit{(ii)}$ convolutional autoencoders for nonlinear dimensionality reduction, $\textit{(iii)}$ feed-forward neural networks to map the input parameters to the latent spaces, and $\textit{(iv)}$ long short-term memory networks to predict and forecast the dynamics of parametric solutions. The efficiency of the $\textit{FastSVD-ML-ROM}$ framework is demonstrated for a 2D linear convection-diffusion equation, the problem of fluid around a cylinder, and the 3D blood flow inside an arterial segment. The accuracy of the reconstructed results demonstrates the robustness and assesses the efficiency of the proposed approach.