Abstract:We explore the question of how to learn an optimal search strategy within the example of a parking problem where parking opportunities arrive according to an unknown inhomogeneous Poisson process. The optimal policy is a threshold-type stopping rule characterized by an indifference position. We propose an algorithm that learns this threshold by estimating the integrated jump intensity rather than the intensity function itself. We show that our algorithm achieves a logarithmic regret growth, uniformly over a broad class of environments. Moreover, we prove a logarithmic minimax regret lower bound, establishing the growth optimality of the proposed approach.
Abstract:This paper considers an ergodic version of the bounded velocity follower problem, assuming that the decision maker lacks knowledge of the underlying system parameters and must learn them while simultaneously controlling. We propose algorithms based on moving empirical averages and develop a framework for integrating statistical methods with stochastic control theory. Our primary result is a logarithmic expected regret rate. To achieve this, we conduct a rigorous analysis of the ergodic convergence rates of the underlying processes and the risks of the considered estimators.