Identification of Power System Oscillation Modes using Blind Source Separation based on Copula Statistic

The dynamics of a power system with large penetration of renewable energy resources are becoming more nonlinear due to the intermittence of these resources and the switching of their power electronic devices. Therefore, it is crucial to accurately identify the dynamical modes of oscillation of such a power system when it is subject to disturbances to initiate appropriate preventive or corrective control actions. In this paper, we propose a high-order blind source identification (HOBI) algorithm based on the copula statistic to address these non-linear dynamics in modal analysis. The method combined with Hilbert transform (HOBI-HT) and iteration procedure (HOBMI) can identify all the modes as well as the model order from the observation signals obtained from the number of channels as low as one. We access the performance of the proposed method on numerical simulation signals and recorded data from a simulation of time domain analysis on the classical 11-Bus 4-Machine test system. Our simulation results outperform the state-of-the-art method in accuracy and effectiveness.

A Robust Data-driven Process Modeling Applied to Time-series Stochastic Power Flow

In this paper, we propose a robust data-driven process model whose hyperparameters are robustly estimated using the Schweppe-type generalized maximum likelihood estimator. The proposed model is trained on recorded time-series data of voltage phasors and power injections to perform a time-series stochastic power flow calculation. Power system data are often corrupted with outliers caused by large errors, fault conditions, power outages, and extreme weather, to name a few. The proposed model downweights vertical outliers and bad leverage points in the measurements of the training dataset. The weights used to bound the influence of the outliers are calculated using projection statistics, which are a robust version of Mahalanobis distances of the time series data points. The proposed method is demonstrated on the IEEE 33-Bus power distribution system and a real-world unbalanced 240-bus power distribution system heavily integrated with renewable energy sources. Our simulation results show that the proposed robust model can handle up to 25% of outliers in the training data set.