Surprisal-Rényi Free Energy

The forward and reverse Kullback-Leibler (KL) divergences arise as limiting objectives in learning and inference yet induce markedly different inductive biases that cannot be explained at the level of expectations alone. In this work, we introduce the Surprisal-Rényi Free Energy (SRFE), a log-moment-based functional of the likelihood ratio that lies outside the class of $f$-divergences. We show that SRFE recovers forward and reverse KL divergences as singular endpoint limits and derive local expansions around both limits in which the variance of the log-likelihood ratio appears as a first-order correction. This reveals an explicit mean-variance tradeoff governing departures from KL-dominated regimes. We further establish a Gibbs-type variational characterization of SRFE as the unique minimizer of a weighted sum of KL divergences and prove that SRFE directly controls large deviations of excess code-length via Chernoff-type bounds, yielding a precise Minimum Description Length interpretation. Together, these results identify SRFE as a variance- and tail-sensitive free-energy functional that clarifies the geometric and large-deviation structure underlying forward and reverse KL limits, without unifying or subsuming distinct learning frameworks.

Bridging Predictive Coding and MDL: A Two-Part Code Framework for Deep Learning

We present the first theoretical framework that connects predictive coding (PC), a biologically inspired local learning rule, with the minimum description length (MDL) principle in deep networks. We prove that layerwise PC performs block-coordinate descent on the MDL two-part code objective, thereby jointly minimizing empirical risk and model complexity. Using Hoeffding's inequality and a prefix-code prior, we derive a novel generalization bound of the form $R(\theta) \le \hat{R}(\theta) + \frac{L(\theta)}{N}$, capturing the tradeoff between fit and compression. We further prove that each PC sweep monotonically decreases the empirical two-part codelength, yielding tighter high-probability risk bounds than unconstrained gradient descent. Finally, we show that repeated PC updates converge to a block-coordinate stationary point, providing an approximate MDL-optimal solution. To our knowledge, this is the first result offering formal generalization and convergence guarantees for PC-trained deep models, positioning PC as a theoretically grounded and biologically plausible alternative to backpropagation.