An Exploration of How Training Set Composition Bias in Machine Learning Affects Identifying Rare Objects

When training a machine learning classifier on data where one of the classes is intrinsically rare, the classifier will often assign too few sources to the rare class. To address this, it is common to up-weight the examples of the rare class to ensure it isn't ignored. It is also a frequent practice to train on restricted data where the balance of source types is closer to equal for the same reason. Here we show that these practices can bias the model toward over-assigning sources to the rare class. We also explore how to detect when training data bias has had a statistically significant impact on the trained model's predictions, and how to reduce the bias's impact. While the magnitude of the impact of the techniques developed here will vary with the details of the application, for most cases it should be modest. They are, however, universally applicable to every time a machine learning classification model is used, making them analogous to Bessel's correction to the sample variance.