Abstract:Network-level maintenance planning requires repeated evaluations of equilibrium traffic flows under road capacity reductions. While equilibrium traffic assignment models are well established, their repeated solution quickly becomes computationally prohibitive and challenging to embed within maintenance scheduling problems. This paper investigates data-driven surrogate models that approximate equilibrium arc flows directly from origin-destination demand, using optimization-based equilibrium solutions as ground truth. A real-world case study based on traffic data from the Newark, New Jersey area demonstrates the effectiveness of the proposed approach as a scalable building block for future maintenance scheduling frameworks.
Abstract:An important tool grid operators use to safeguard against failures, whether naturally occurring or malicious, involves detecting anomalies in the power system SCADA data. In this paper, we aim to solve a real-time anomaly detection problem. Given time-series measurement values coming from a fixed set of sensors on the grid, can we identify anomalies in the network topology or measurement data? Existing methods, primarily optimization-based, mostly use only a single snapshot of the measurement values and do not scale well with the network size. Recent data-driven ML techniques have shown promise by using a combination of current and historical data for anomaly detection but generally do not consider physical attributes like the impact of topology or load/generation changes on sensor measurements and thus cannot accommodate regular context-variability in the historical data. To address this gap, we propose a novel context-aware anomaly detection algorithm, GridCAL, that considers the effect of regular topology and load/generation changes. This algorithm converts the real-time power flow measurements to context-agnostic values, which allows us to analyze measurement coming from different grid contexts in an aggregate fashion, enabling us to derive a unified statistical model that becomes the basis of anomaly detection. Through numerical simulations on networks up to 2383 nodes, we show that our approach is accurate, outperforming state-of-the-art approaches, and is computationally efficient.