Abductive Reasoning with the GPT-4 Language Model: Case studies from criminal investigation, medical practice, scientific research

This study evaluates the GPT-4 Large Language Model's abductive reasoning in complex fields like medical diagnostics, criminology, and cosmology. Using an interactive interview format, the AI assistant demonstrated reliability in generating and selecting hypotheses. It inferred plausible medical diagnoses based on patient data and provided potential causes and explanations in criminology and cosmology. The results highlight the potential of LLMs in complex problem-solving and the need for further research to maximize their practical applications.

A formal model for ledger management systems based on contracts and temporal logic

A key component of blockchain technology is the ledger, viz., a database that, unlike standard databases, keeps in memory the complete history of past transactions as in a notarial archive for the benefit of any future test. In second-generation blockchains such as Ethereum the ledger is coupled with smart contracts, which enable the automation of transactions associated with agreements between the parties of a financial or commercial nature. The coupling of smart contracts and ledgers provides the technological background for very innovative application areas, such as Decentralized Autonomous Organizations (DAOs), Initial Coin Offerings (ICOs) and Decentralized Finance (DeFi), which propelled blockchains beyond cryptocurrencies that were the only focus of first generation blockchains such as the Bitcoin. However, the currently used implementation of smart contracts as arbitrary programming constructs has made them susceptible to dangerous bugs that can be exploited maliciously and has moved their semantics away from that of legal contracts. We propose here to recompose the split and recover the reliability of databases by formalizing a notion of contract modelled as a finite-state automaton with well-defined computational characteristics derived from an encoding in terms of allocations of resources to actors, as an alternative to the approach based on programming. To complete the work, we use temporal logic as the basis for an abstract query language that is effectively suited to the historical nature of the information kept in the ledger.

Integrating Heuristics and Learning in a Computational Architecture for Cognitive Trading

The successes of Artificial Intelligence in recent years in areas such as image analysis, natural language understanding and strategy games have sparked interest from the world of finance. Specifically, there are high expectations, and ongoing engineering projects, regarding the creation of artificial agents, known as robotic traders, capable of juggling the financial markets with the skill of experienced human traders. Obvious economic implications aside, this is certainly an area of great scientific interest, due to the challenges that such a real context poses to the use of AI techniques. Precisely for this reason, we must be aware that artificial agents capable of operating at such levels are not just round the corner, and that there will be no simple answers, but rather a concurrence of various technologies and methods to the success of the effort. In the course of this article, we review the issues inherent in the design of effective robotic traders as well as the consequently applicable solutions, having in view the general objective of bringing the current state of the art of robo-trading up to the next level of intelligence, which we refer to as Cognitive Trading. Key to our approach is the joining of two methodological and technological directions which, although both deeply rooted in the disciplinary field of artificial intelligence, have so far gone their separate ways: heuristics and learning.