Do Deep Ensembles Actually Capture Uncertainty in Graph Neural Networks?

While deep ensembles are widely considered to be the default method for uncertainty quantification in deep learning, their effectiveness for graph-structured data is often simply assumed based on successes in domains like computer vision. We investigate standard deep ensembles specifically for message-passing graph neural networks. Benchmarking across seven datasets representing varied tasks and complexities, we reveal that ensembles provide surprisingly little improvement over a single model. Instead, the observed marginal gains stem primarily from stabilizing optimization noise in point predictions rather than yielding meaningfully better uncertainty estimates. Through an aleatoric-epistemic decomposition, we identify epistemic collapse: independently trained networks consistently converge to overly similar predictions. Because disagreement is the fundamental mechanism through which ensembles capture epistemic uncertainty, this lack of diversity neutralizes their key advantage. Analyzing this phenomenon further, we suggest this collapse is driven by functional rather than weight-space convexity, where distinct parameter solutions induce almost identical behavior. Our results suggest that deep ensemble success does not seamlessly transfer to graph machine learning.

S+t-SNE -- Bringing dimensionality reduction to data streams

We present S+t-SNE, an adaptation of the t-SNE algorithm designed to handle infinite data streams. The core idea behind S+t-SNE is to update the t-SNE embedding incrementally as new data arrives, ensuring scalability and adaptability to handle streaming scenarios. By selecting the most important points at each step, the algorithm ensures scalability while keeping informative visualisations. Employing a blind method for drift management adjusts the embedding space, facilitating continuous visualisation of evolving data dynamics. Our experimental evaluations demonstrate the effectiveness and efficiency of S+t-SNE. The results highlight its ability to capture patterns in a streaming scenario. We hope our approach offers researchers and practitioners a real-time tool for understanding and interpreting high-dimensional data.