When Calibration Fails the Vulnerable Hospital: Federated Conformal Risk Control via Risk-Curve Shrinkage

Conformal risk control (CRC) provides distribution-free guarantees on segmentation quality by calibrating a prediction-set threshold on held-out data. In federated deployments, the standard approach pools calibration scores across sites into a single threshold. We provide the first quantification, on real multi-institutional brain tumor data (FeTS-2022, 1,251 subjects, 20 institutions), showing that this naive pooled CRC protects the average hospital but violates coverage at 40% of individual institutions, with the worst site exceeding the target false-negative rate by 7.8 percentage points. The naive alternative, per-site local CRC, largely restores coverage but inflates prediction sets by 83x, rendering them clinically useless. We propose a shrinkage-based federated CRC protocol: each site transmits only its empirical risk curve (G scalars) to a server, which computes a shrinkage-regularized threshold per site. A single hyperparameter n0 smoothly trades worst-case coverage for prediction-set efficiency; leave-one-site-out sensitivity analysis identifies n0=19, achieving 2.7/20 violations at 2.0x stretch. We further show that direct Lagrangian optimization of coverage budgets fails, concentrating risk on vulnerable hospitals, and that the finite-sample correction term is essential: removing it triples violations. The marginal CRC guarantee is preserved by construction under the stated site-mixture assumption; per-site coverage is validated across four targets with three seeds. No patient-level images, masks, or per-volume scores leave any site.

Probabilistic Feature Imputation and Uncertainty-Aware Multimodal Federated Aggregation

Multimodal federated learning enables privacy-preserving collaborative model training across healthcare institutions. However, a fundamental challenge arises from modality heterogeneity: many clinical sites possess only a subset of modalities due to resource constraints or workflow variations. Existing approaches address this through feature imputation networks that synthesize missing modality representations, yet these methods produce point estimates without reliability measures, forcing downstream classifiers to treat all imputed features as equally trustworthy. In safety-critical medical applications, this limitation poses significant risks. We propose the Probabilistic Feature Imputation Network (P-FIN), which outputs calibrated uncertainty estimates alongside imputed features. This uncertainty is leveraged at two levels: (1) locally, through sigmoid gating that attenuates unreliable feature dimensions before classification, and (2) globally, through Fed-UQ-Avg, an aggregation strategy that prioritizes updates from clients with reliable imputation. Experiments on federated chest X-ray classification using CheXpert, NIH Open-I, and PadChest demonstrate consistent improvements over deterministic baselines, with +5.36% AUC gain in the most challenging configuration.

LoRA-MME: Multi-Model Ensemble of LoRA-Tuned Encoders for Code Comment Classification

Code comment classification is a critical task for automated software documentation and analysis. In the context of the NLBSE'26 Tool Competition, we present LoRA-MME, a Multi-Model Ensemble architecture utilizing Parameter-Efficient Fine-Tuning (PEFT). Our approach addresses the multi-label classification challenge across Java, Python, and Pharo by combining the strengths of four distinct transformer encoders: UniXcoder, CodeBERT, GraphCodeBERT, and CodeBERTa. By independently fine-tuning these models using Low-Rank Adaptation(LoRA) and aggregating their predictions via a learned weighted ensemble strategy, we maximize classification performance without the memory overhead of full model fine-tuning. Our tool achieved an F1 Weighted score of 0.7906 and a Macro F1 of 0.6867 on the test set. However, the computational cost of the ensemble resulted in a final submission score of 41.20%, highlighting the trade-off between semantic accuracy and inference efficiency.