Abstract:Recursive training of generative models on their own outputs can lead to model collapse, a compounding drift away from the true data distribution. Existing theoretical works bound finite-round error accumulation in the context of diffusion models, but two questions remain open:~what distribution does the recursion converge to, and how fast? We answer both, isolating a mechanism distinct from imperfect learning: even with perfect score estimation and exact sampling, the early stopping of the reverse diffusion (required for numerical stability) drives a progressive drift away from the data distribution. We prove that this recursion converges geometrically to a unique limiting distribution, which admits a closed-form characterization as an infinite mixture of increasingly Gaussian-smoothed versions of the data distribution. A Hermite spectral decomposition of this limit reveals that recursive training acts as a low-pass filter: higher-order modes, which encode fine non-Gaussian structure, are attenuated much more strongly than coarse modes. This spectral picture motivates annealed truncation schedules that progressively shrink truncation times across retraining rounds; we prove that any schedule converging to $0$ asymptotically eliminates recursive compounding. Finally, we show our idealized characterization is robust: in the presence of discretization and score estimation errors, the learned distribution remains in a Wasserstein-2 ball around the ideal limit, with mode-dependent contraction rates that contract high-order errors faster than low-order ones. We validate the theory on synthetic Gaussian mixtures and CIFAR-10.
Abstract:Score-based diffusion models are typically trained by minimizing the $L^2$ score matching error, and standard theoretical analyses rely on this quantity to bound the sampling discrepancy between the learned and target distributions. We show the $L^2$ score error is not the right intrinsic measure of marginal distributional quality: a learned diffusion model can incur arbitrarily large $L^2$ score error while perfectly matching the target distribution. By decomposing score errors into a gradient and a solenoidal component (a Helmholtz-Hodge decomposition), we identify the geometric reason behind this: only the gradient component enters the marginal Fokker-Planck dynamics, while the solenoidal component is structurally invisible. We make this precise in three results. First, building on the corrected geometry, we prove an impossibility result: no monotone function of the $L^2$ score error can uniformly lower bound any divergence between the learned and target distributions. Second, we derive an upper bound on the Kullback-Leibler divergence that depends only on the observable gradient component of the error, tightening the standard Girsanov bound and identifying its looseness as the cost of operating on path-space rather than marginal-space dynamics. Third, we give a tractable estimator of the gradient component via a dual Sobolev identity, which is shown to empirically correlate substantially better with sample quality than the full $L^2$ error.