Transferable Human Mobility Network Reconstruction with neuroGravity

Accurate modeling of human mobility is critical for tackling urban planning and public health challenges. In undeveloped regions, the absence of comprehensive travel surveys necessitates reconstructing mobility networks from publicly available data. Here we develop neuroGravity, a physics-informed deep learning model that reliably reconstructs mobility flows from limited observations and transfers to unobserved cities. Using only urban facility and population distributions, we find that neuroGravity's regional representations strongly correlate with socioeconomic and livability status, offering scalable proxies for costly surveys. Furthermore, we uncover that spatial income segregation plays a key role in model transferability: mobility networks are most reliably reconstructed when target cities share similar segregation levels with the source. We design an index to quantify this segregation and accurately predict transferability. Finally, we generate mobility flow proxies for over 1,200 cities worldwide, highlighting neuroGravity's potential to mitigate critical data shortages in resource-limited, underdeveloped areas.

Where to Go Next Day: Multi-scale Spatial-Temporal Decoupled Model for Mid-term Human Mobility Prediction

Predicting individual mobility patterns is crucial across various applications. While current methods mainly focus on predicting the next location for personalized services like recommendations, they often fall short in supporting broader applications such as traffic management and epidemic control, which require longer period forecasts of human mobility. This study addresses mid-term mobility prediction, aiming to capture daily travel patterns and forecast trajectories for the upcoming day or week. We propose a novel Multi-scale Spatial-Temporal Decoupled Predictor (MSTDP) designed to efficiently extract spatial and temporal information by decoupling daily trajectories into distinct location-duration chains. Our approach employs a hierarchical encoder to model multi-scale temporal patterns, including daily recurrence and weekly periodicity, and utilizes a transformer-based decoder to globally attend to predicted information in the location or duration chain. Additionally, we introduce a spatial heterogeneous graph learner to capture multi-scale spatial relationships, enhancing semantic-rich representations. Extensive experiments, including statistical physics analysis, are conducted on large-scale mobile phone records in five cities (Boston, Los Angeles, SF Bay Area, Shanghai, and Tokyo), to demonstrate MSTDP's advantages. Applied to epidemic modeling in Boston, MSTDP significantly outperforms the best-performing baseline, achieving a remarkable 62.8% reduction in MAE for cumulative new cases.

Inferring land use from mobile phone activity

Understanding the spatiotemporal distribution of people within a city is crucial to many planning applications. Obtaining data to create required knowledge, currently involves costly survey methods. At the same time ubiquitous mobile sensors from personal GPS devices to mobile phones are collecting massive amounts of data on urban systems. The locations, communications, and activities of millions of people are recorded and stored by new information technologies. This work utilizes novel dynamic data, generated by mobile phone users, to measure spatiotemporal changes in population. In the process, we identify the relationship between land use and dynamic population over the course of a typical week. A machine learning classification algorithm is used to identify clusters of locations with similar zoned uses and mobile phone activity patterns. It is shown that the mobile phone data is capable of delivering useful information on actual land use that supplements zoning regulations.