End-to-End Speaker Height and age estimation using Attention Mechanism with LSTM-RNN

Automatic height and age estimation of speakers using acoustic features is widely used for the purpose of human-computer interaction, forensics, etc. In this work, we propose a novel approach of using attention mechanism to build an end-to-end architecture for height and age estimation. The attention mechanism is combined with Long Short-Term Memory(LSTM) encoder which is able to capture long-term dependencies in the input acoustic features. We modify the conventionally used Attention -- which calculates context vectors the sum of attention only across timeframes -- by introducing a modified context vector which takes into account total attention across encoder units as well, giving us a new cross-attention mechanism. Apart from this, we also investigate a multi-task learning approach for jointly estimating speaker height and age. We train and test our model on the TIMIT corpus. Our model outperforms several approaches in the literature. We achieve a root mean square error (RMSE) of 6.92cm and6.34cm for male and female heights respectively and RMSE of 7.85years and 8.75years for male and females ages respectively. By tracking the attention weights allocated to different phones, we find that Vowel phones are most important whistlestop phones are least important for the estimation task.

Forecasting Foreign Exchange Rate: A Multivariate Comparative Analysis between Traditional Econometric, Contemporary Machine Learning & Deep Learning Techniques

In todays global economy, accuracy in predicting macro-economic parameters such as the foreign the exchange rate or at least estimating the trend correctly is of key importance for any future investment. In recent times, the use of computational intelligence-based techniques for forecasting macroeconomic variables has been proven highly successful. This paper tries to come up with a multivariate time series approach to forecast the exchange rate (USD/INR) while parallelly comparing the performance of three multivariate prediction modelling techniques: Vector Auto Regression (a Traditional Econometric Technique), Support Vector Machine (a Contemporary Machine Learning Technique), and Recurrent Neural Networks (a Contemporary Deep Learning Technique). We have used monthly historical data for several macroeconomic variables from April 1994 to December 2018 for USA and India to predict USD-INR Foreign Exchange Rate. The results clearly depict that contemporary techniques of SVM and RNN (Long Short-Term Memory) outperform the widely used traditional method of Auto Regression. The RNN model with Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) provides the maximum accuracy (97.83%) followed by SVM Model (97.17%) and VAR Model (96.31%). At last, we present a brief analysis of the correlation and interdependencies of the variables used for forecasting.