Evaluating glioma growth predictions as a forward ranking problem

The problem of tumor growth prediction is challenging, but promising results have been achieved with both model-driven and statistical methods. In this work, we present a framework for the evaluation of growth predictions that focuses on the spatial infiltration patterns, and specifically evaluating a prediction of future growth. We propose to frame the problem as a ranking problem rather than a segmentation problem. Using the average precision as a metric, we can evaluate the results with segmentations while using the full spatiotemporal prediction. Furthermore, by separating the model goodness-of-fit from future predictive performance, we show that in some cases, a better fit of model parameters does not guarantee a better the predictive power.

WHO 2016 subtyping and automated segmentation of glioma using multi-task deep learning

Accurate characterization of glioma is crucial for clinical decision making. A delineation of the tumor is also desirable in the initial decision stages but is a time-consuming task. Leveraging the latest GPU capabilities, we developed a single multi-task convolutional neural network that uses the full 3D, structural, pre-operative MRI scans to can predict the IDH mutation status, the 1p/19q co-deletion status, and the grade of a tumor, while simultaneously segmenting the tumor. We trained our method using the largest, most diverse patient cohort to date containing 1508 glioma patients from 16 institutes. We tested our method on an independent dataset of 240 patients from 13 different institutes, and achieved an IDH-AUC of 0.90, 1p/19q-AUC of 0.85, grade-AUC of 0.81, and a mean whole tumor DICE score of 0.84. Thus, our method non-invasively predicts multiple, clinically relevant parameters and generalizes well to the broader clinical population.