QxEAI -- Automated probabilistic forecasting with Quantum-like evolutionary algorithm

Forecasting, to estimate future events, is crucial for business and decision-making. This paper proposes QxEAI, a methodology that produces a probabilistic forecast that utilizes a quantum-like evolutionary algorithm based on training a quantum-like logic decision tree and a classical value tree on a small number of related time series. By using different cycles of the Dow Jones Index (yearly, monthly, weekly, daily), we demonstrate how our methodology produces accurate forecasts while requiring little to none manual work.

Machine learning for discovering laws of nature

A microscopic particle obeys the principles of quantum mechanics -- so where is the sharp boundary between the macroscopic and microscopic worlds? It was this "interpretation problem" that prompted Schr\"odinger to propose his famous thought experiment (a cat that is simultaneously both dead and alive) and sparked a great debate about the quantum measurement problem, and there is still no satisfactory answer yet. This is precisely the inadequacy of rigorous mathematical models in describing the laws of nature. We propose a computational model to describe and understand the laws of nature based on Darwin's natural selection. In fact, whether it's a macro particle, a micro electron or a security, they can all be considered as an entity, the change of this entity over time can be described by a data series composed of states and values. An observer can learn from this data series to construct theories (usually consisting of functions and differential equations). We don't model with the usual functions or differential equations, but with a state Decision Tree (determines the state of an entity) and a value Function Tree (determines the distance between two points of an entity). A state Decision Tree and a value Function Tree together can reconstruct an entity's trajectory and make predictions about its future trajectory. Our proposed algorithmic model discovers laws of nature by only learning observed historical data (sequential measurement of observables) based on maximizing the observer's expected value. There is no differential equation in our model; our model has an emphasis on machine learning, where the observer builds up his/her experience by being rewarded or punished for each decision he/she makes, and eventually leads to rediscovering Newton's law, the Born rule (quantum mechanics) and the efficient market hypothesis (financial market).