Incorporating Taylor Series and Recursive Structure in Neural Networks for Time Series Prediction

Time series analysis is relevant in various disciplines such as physics, biology, chemistry, and finance. In this paper, we present a novel neural network architecture that integrates elements from ResNet structures, while introducing the innovative incorporation of the Taylor series framework. This approach demonstrates notable enhancements in test accuracy across many of the baseline datasets investigated. Furthermore, we extend our method to incorporate a recursive step, which leads to even further improvements in test accuracy. Our findings underscore the potential of our proposed model to significantly advance time series analysis methodologies, offering promising avenues for future research and application.

Discovery of Governing Equations with Recursive Deep Neural Networks

Model discovery based on existing data has been one of the major focuses of mathematical modelers for decades. Despite tremendous achievements of model identification from adequate data, how to unravel the models from limited data is less resolved. In this paper, we focus on the model discovery problem when the data is not efficiently sampled in time. This is common due to limited experimental accessibility and labor/resource constraints. Specifically, we introduce a recursive deep neural network (RDNN) for data-driven model discovery. This recursive approach can retrieve the governing equation in a simple and efficient manner, and it can significantly improve the approximation accuracy by increasing the recursive stages. In particular, our proposed approach shows superior power when the existing data are sampled with a large time lag, from which the traditional approach might not be able to recover the model well. Several widely used examples of dynamical systems are used to benchmark this newly proposed recursive approach. Numerical comparisons confirm the effectiveness of this recursive neural network for model discovery.