Beyond One Output: Visualizing and Comparing Distributions of Language Model Generations

Users typically interact with and evaluate language models via single outputs, but each output is just one sample from a broad distribution of possible completions. This interaction hides distributional structure such as modes, uncommon edge cases, and sensitivity to small prompt changes, leading users to over-generalize from anecdotes when iterating on prompts for open-ended tasks. Informed by a formative study with researchers who use LMs (n=13) examining when stochasticity matters in practice, how they reason about distributions over language, and where current workflows break down, we introduce GROVE. GROVE is an interactive visualization that represents multiple LM generations as overlapping paths through a text graph, revealing shared structure, branching points, and clusters while preserving access to raw outputs. We evaluate across three crowdsourced user studies (N=47, 44, and 40 participants) targeting complementary distributional tasks. Our results support a hybrid workflow: graph summaries improve structural judgments such as assessing diversity, while direct output inspection remains stronger for detail-oriented questions.

Digital Typhoon: Long-term Satellite Image Dataset for the Spatio-Temporal Modeling of Tropical Cyclones

This paper presents the official release of the Digital Typhoon dataset, the longest typhoon satellite image dataset for 40+ years aimed at benchmarking machine learning models for long-term spatio-temporal data. To build the dataset, we developed a workflow to create an infrared typhoon-centered image for cropping using Lambert azimuthal equal-area projection referring to the best track data. We also address data quality issues such as inter-satellite calibration to create a homogeneous dataset. To take advantage of the dataset, we organized machine learning tasks by the types and targets of inference, with other tasks for meteorological analysis, societal impact, and climate change. The benchmarking results on the analysis, forecasting, and reanalysis for the intensity suggest that the dataset is challenging for recent deep learning models, due to many choices that affect the performance of various models. This dataset reduces the barrier for machine learning researchers to meet large-scale real-world events called tropical cyclones and develop machine learning models that may contribute to advancing scientific knowledge on tropical cyclones as well as solving societal and sustainability issues such as disaster reduction and climate change. The dataset is publicly available at http://agora.ex.nii.ac.jp/digital-typhoon/dataset/ and https://github.com/kitamoto-lab/digital-typhoon/.