Smart Surrogate Losses for Contextual Stochastic Linear Optimization with Robust Constraints

We study an extension of contextual stochastic linear optimization (CSLO) that, in contrast to most of the existing literature, involves inequality constraints that depend on uncertain parameters predicted by a machine learning model. To handle the constraint uncertainty, we use contextual uncertainty sets constructed via methods like conformal prediction. Given a contextual uncertainty set method, we introduce the "Smart Predict-then-Optimize with Robust Constraints" (SPO-RC) loss, a feasibility-sensitive adaptation of the SPO loss that measures decision error of predicted objective parameters. We also introduce a convex surrogate, SPO-RC+, and prove Fisher consistency with SPO-RC. To enhance performance, we train on truncated datasets where true constraint parameters lie within the uncertainty sets, and we correct the induced sample selection bias using importance reweighting techniques. Through experiments on fractional knapsack and alloy production problem instances, we demonstrate that SPO-RC+ effectively handles uncertainty in constraints and that combining truncation with importance reweighting can further improve performance.

Binary Classification with Instance and Label Dependent Label Noise

Learning with label dependent label noise has been extensively explored in both theory and practice; however, dealing with instance (i.e., feature) and label dependent label noise continues to be a challenging task. The difficulty arises from the fact that the noise rate varies for each instance, making it challenging to estimate accurately. The question of whether it is possible to learn a reliable model using only noisy samples remains unresolved. We answer this question with a theoretical analysis that provides matching upper and lower bounds. Surprisingly, our results show that, without any additional assumptions, empirical risk minimization achieves the optimal excess risk bound. Specifically, we derive a novel excess risk bound proportional to the noise level, which holds in very general settings, by comparing the empirical risk minimizers obtained from clean samples and noisy samples. Second, we show that the minimax lower bound for the 0-1 loss is a constant proportional to the average noise rate. Our findings suggest that learning solely with noisy samples is impossible without access to clean samples or strong assumptions on the distribution of the data.