Automated river gauge plate reading using a hybrid object detection and generative AI framework in the Limpopo River Basin

Accurate and continuous monitoring of river water levels is essential for flood forecasting, water resource management, and ecological protection. Traditional hydrological observation methods are often limited by manual measurement errors and environmental constraints. This study presents a hybrid framework integrating vision based waterline detection, YOLOv8 pose scale extraction, and large multimodal language models (GPT 4o and Gemini 2.0 Flash) for automated river gauge plate reading. The methodology involves sequential stages of image preprocessing, annotation, waterline detection, scale gap estimation, and numeric reading extraction. Experiments demonstrate that waterline detection achieved high precision of 94.24 percent and an F1 score of 83.64 percent, while scale gap detection provided accurate geometric calibration for subsequent reading extraction. Incorporating scale gap metadata substantially improved the predictive performance of LLMs, with Gemini Stage 2 achieving the highest accuracy, with a mean absolute error of 5.43 cm, root mean square error of 8.58 cm, and R squared of 0.84 under optimal image conditions. Results highlight the sensitivity of LLMs to image quality, with degraded images producing higher errors, and underscore the importance of combining geometric metadata with multimodal artificial intelligence for robust water level estimation. Overall, the proposed approach offers a scalable, efficient, and reliable solution for automated hydrological monitoring, demonstrating potential for real time river gauge digitization and improved water resource management.

Dam Volume Prediction Model Development Using ML Algorithms

Reliable reservoir volume estimates are crucial for water resource management, especially in arid and semi-arid regions. The present study investigates applying three machine learning regression techniques - Gradient Boosting, Random Forest, and ElasticNet to predict key dam performance characteristics of the Loskop Dam in South Africa. The models were trained and validated on a dataset comprising geospatial elevation measurements paired with corresponding reservoir supply capacity values. The best-performing approach was a threshold-based blended model that combined random forest for higher volumes with Ridge regression for lower volumes. This model achieved an RMSE of 4.88 MCM and an R2 of 0.99. These findings highlight the ability of ensemble learning techniques to capture complex relationships in dam datasets and underscore their practical utility for reliable dam performance modelling in real-world water resource management scenarios.