Self-Attention as a Covariance Readout: A Unified View of In-Context Learning and Repetition

Large language models (LLMs) exhibit two striking and ostensibly unrelated behaviours: in-context learning (ICL) and repetitive generation. In both, the model behaves as though it had summarised the context into a population-level statistic and discarded token-level detail. We ask whether this ``summarisation and forgetting'' can be derived from the attention mechanism itself, and answer in the affirmative. Under stationary, ergodic and elliptical inputs, the softmax attention output converges almost surely to $Θ_VΣΘ_K^{\top}Θ_Q x_t$, where $Σ$ is the input covariance; the long-context limit is therefore a linear readout of the input's second-order statistics. Two consequences follow. (i) For in-context linear regression, a single softmax head can implement one step of population gradient descent. Stacking such heads with residual connections iterates this update and implements multiple gradient descent steps. (ii) Propagated across an $L$-layer transformer, this readout drives the terminal hidden state at the parametric $1/t$ rate to a deterministic function of the current token alone, so that autoregressive generation collapses asymptotically to a first-order Markov chain whose attracting orbits furnish a structural account of repetition and mode collapse. The two phenomena thus emerge as facets of a single covariance-readout principle.