Estimate Deformation Capacity of Non-Ductile RC Shear Walls using Explainable Boosting Machine

Machine learning is becoming increasingly prevalent for tackling challenges in earthquake engineering and providing fairly reliable and accurate predictions. However, it is mostly unclear how decisions are made because machine learning models are generally highly sophisticated, resulting in opaque black-box models. Machine learning models that are naturally interpretable and provide their own decision explanation, rather than using an explanatory, are more accurate in determining what the model actually computes. With this motivation, this study aims to develop a fully explainable machine learning model to predict the deformation capacity of non-ductile reinforced concrete shear walls based on experimental data collected worldwide. The proposed Explainable Boosting Machines (EBM)-based model is an interpretable, robust, naturally explainable glass-box model, yet provides high accuracy comparable to its black-box counterparts. The model enables the user to observe the relationship between the wall properties and the deformation capacity by quantifying the individual contribution of each wall property as well as the correlations among them. The mean coefficient of determination R2 and the mean ratio of predicted to actual value based on the test dataset are 0.92 and 1.05, respectively. The proposed predictive model stands out with its overall consistency with scientific knowledge, practicality, and interpretability without sacrificing high accuracy.

Machine Learning-Based Assessment of Energy Behavior of RC Shear Walls

Current seismic design codes primarily rely on the strength and displacement capacity of structural members and do not account for the influence of the ground motion duration or the hysteretic behavior characteristics. The energy-based approach serves as a supplemental index to response quantities and includes the effect of repeated loads in seismic performance. The design philosophy suggests that the seismic demands are met by the energy dissipation capacity of the structural members. Therefore, the energy dissipation behavior of the structural members should be well understood to achieve an effective energy-based design approach. This study focuses on the energy dissipation capacity of reinforced concrete (RC) shear walls that are widely used in high seismic regions as they provide significant stiffness and strength to resist lateral forces. A machine learning (Gaussian Process Regression (GPR))-based predictive model for energy dissipation capacity of shear walls is developed as a function of wall design parameters. Eighteen design parameters are shown to influence energy dissipation, whereas the most important ones are determined by applying sequential backward elimination and by using feature selection methods to reduce the complexity of the predictive model. The ability of the proposed model to make robust and accurate predictions is validated based on novel data with a prediction accuracy (the ratio of predicted/actual values) of around 1.00 and a coefficient of determination (R2) of 0.93. The outcomes of this study are believed to contribute to the energy-based approach by (i) defining the most influential wall properties on the seismic energy dissipation capacity of shear walls and (ii) providing predictive models that can enable comparisons of different wall design configurations to achieve higher energy dissipation capacity.

Glass-box model representation of seismic failure mode prediction for conventional RC shear walls

The recent surge in earthquake engineering is the use of machine learning methods to develop predictive models for structural behavior. Complex black-box models are typically used for decision making to achieve high accuracy; however, as important as high accuracy, it is essential for engineers to understand how the model makes the decision and verify that the model is physically meaningful. With this motivation, this study proposes a glass-box (interpretable) classification model to predict the seismic failure mode of conventional reinforced concrete shear (structural) walls. Reported experimental damage information of 176 conventional shear walls tested under reverse cyclic loading were designated as class-types, whereas key design properties (e.g. compressive strength of concrete, axial load ratio, and web reinforcement ratio) of shear walls were used as the basic classification features. The trade-off between model complexity and model interpretability was discussed using eight Machine Learning (ML) methods. The results showed that the Decision Tree method was a more convenient classifier with higher interpretability with a high classification accuracy than its counterparts. Also, to enhance the practicality of the model, a feature reduction was conducted to reduce the complexity of the proposed classifier with higher classification performance, and the most relevant features were identified, namely: compressive strength of concrete, wall aspect ratio, transverse boundary, and web reinforcement ratio. The ability of the final DT model to predict the failure modes was validated with a classification rate of around 90%. The proposed model aims to provide engineers interpretable, robust, and rapid prediction in seismic performance assessment.