Fair MP-BOOST: Fair and Interpretable Minipatch Boosting

Ensemble methods, particularly boosting, have established themselves as highly effective and widely embraced machine learning techniques for tabular data. In this paper, we aim to leverage the robust predictive power of traditional boosting methods while enhancing fairness and interpretability. To achieve this, we develop Fair MP-Boost, a stochastic boosting scheme that balances fairness and accuracy by adaptively learning features and observations during training. Specifically, Fair MP-Boost sequentially samples small subsets of observations and features, termed minipatches (MP), according to adaptively learned feature and observation sampling probabilities. We devise these probabilities by combining loss functions, or by combining feature importance scores to address accuracy and fairness simultaneously. Hence, Fair MP-Boost prioritizes important and fair features along with challenging instances, to select the most relevant minipatches for learning. The learned probability distributions also yield intrinsic interpretations of feature importance and important observations in Fair MP-Boost. Through empirical evaluation of simulated and benchmark datasets, we showcase the interpretability, accuracy, and fairness of Fair MP-Boost.

Fair Feature Importance Scores for Interpreting Tree-Based Methods and Surrogates

Across various sectors such as healthcare, criminal justice, national security, finance, and technology, large-scale machine learning (ML) and artificial intelligence (AI) systems are being deployed to make critical data-driven decisions. Many have asked if we can and should trust these ML systems to be making these decisions. Two critical components are prerequisites for trust in ML systems: interpretability, or the ability to understand why the ML system makes the decisions it does, and fairness, which ensures that ML systems do not exhibit bias against certain individuals or groups. Both interpretability and fairness are important and have separately received abundant attention in the ML literature, but so far, there have been very few methods developed to directly interpret models with regard to their fairness. In this paper, we focus on arguably the most popular type of ML interpretation: feature importance scores. Inspired by the use of decision trees in knowledge distillation, we propose to leverage trees as interpretable surrogates for complex black-box ML models. Specifically, we develop a novel fair feature importance score for trees that can be used to interpret how each feature contributes to fairness or bias in trees, tree-based ensembles, or tree-based surrogates of any complex ML system. Like the popular mean decrease in impurity for trees, our Fair Feature Importance Score is defined based on the mean decrease (or increase) in group bias. Through simulations as well as real examples on benchmark fairness datasets, we demonstrate that our Fair Feature Importance Score offers valid interpretations for both tree-based ensembles and tree-based surrogates of other ML systems.

Data Augmentation via Subgroup Mixup for Improving Fairness

In this work, we propose data augmentation via pairwise mixup across subgroups to improve group fairness. Many real-world applications of machine learning systems exhibit biases across certain groups due to under-representation or training data that reflects societal biases. Inspired by the successes of mixup for improving classification performance, we develop a pairwise mixup scheme to augment training data and encourage fair and accurate decision boundaries for all subgroups. Data augmentation for group fairness allows us to add new samples of underrepresented groups to balance subpopulations. Furthermore, our method allows us to use the generalization ability of mixup to improve both fairness and accuracy. We compare our proposed mixup to existing data augmentation and bias mitigation approaches on both synthetic simulations and real-world benchmark fair classification data, demonstrating that we are able to achieve fair outcomes with robust if not improved accuracy.

Interpretable Machine Learning for Discovery: Statistical Challenges \& Opportunities

New technologies have led to vast troves of large and complex datasets across many scientific domains and industries. People routinely use machine learning techniques to not only process, visualize, and make predictions from this big data, but also to make data-driven discoveries. These discoveries are often made using Interpretable Machine Learning, or machine learning models and techniques that yield human understandable insights. In this paper, we discuss and review the field of interpretable machine learning, focusing especially on the techniques as they are often employed to generate new knowledge or make discoveries from large data sets. We outline the types of discoveries that can be made using Interpretable Machine Learning in both supervised and unsupervised settings. Additionally, we focus on the grand challenge of how to validate these discoveries in a data-driven manner, which promotes trust in machine learning systems and reproducibility in science. We discuss validation from both a practical perspective, reviewing approaches based on data-splitting and stability, as well as from a theoretical perspective, reviewing statistical results on model selection consistency and uncertainty quantification via statistical inference. Finally, we conclude by highlighting open challenges in using interpretable machine learning techniques to make discoveries, including gaps between theory and practice for validating data-driven-discoveries.

Nonparanormal Graph Quilting with Applications to Calcium Imaging

Probabilistic graphical models have become an important unsupervised learning tool for detecting network structures for a variety of problems, including the estimation of functional neuronal connectivity from two-photon calcium imaging data. However, in the context of calcium imaging, technological limitations only allow for partially overlapping layers of neurons in a brain region of interest to be jointly recorded. In this case, graph estimation for the full data requires inference for edge selection when many pairs of neurons have no simultaneous observations. This leads to the Graph Quilting problem, which seeks to estimate a graph in the presence of block-missingness in the empirical covariance matrix. Solutions for the Graph Quilting problem have previously been studied for Gaussian graphical models; however, neural activity data from calcium imaging are often non-Gaussian, thereby requiring a more flexible modeling approach. Thus, in our work, we study two approaches for nonparanormal Graph Quilting based on the Gaussian copula graphical model, namely a maximum likelihood procedure and a low-rank based framework. We provide theoretical guarantees on edge recovery for the former approach under similar conditions to those previously developed for the Gaussian setting, and we investigate the empirical performance of both methods using simulations as well as real data calcium imaging data. Our approaches yield more scientifically meaningful functional connectivity estimates compared to existing Gaussian graph quilting methods for this calcium imaging data set.

Low-Rank Covariance Completion for Graph Quilting with Applications to Functional Connectivity

As a tool for estimating networks in high dimensions, graphical models are commonly applied to calcium imaging data to estimate functional neuronal connectivity, i.e. relationships between the activities of neurons. However, in many calcium imaging data sets, the full population of neurons is not recorded simultaneously, but instead in partially overlapping blocks. This leads to the Graph Quilting problem, as first introduced by (Vinci et.al. 2019), in which the goal is to infer the structure of the full graph when only subsets of features are jointly observed. In this paper, we study a novel two-step approach to Graph Quilting, which first imputes the complete covariance matrix using low-rank covariance completion techniques before estimating the graph structure. We introduce three approaches to solve this problem: block singular value decomposition, nuclear norm penalization, and non-convex low-rank factorization. While prior works have studied low-rank matrix completion, we address the challenges brought by the block-wise missingness and are the first to investigate the problem in the context of graph learning. We discuss theoretical properties of the two-step procedure, showing graph selection consistency of one proposed approach by proving novel L infinity-norm error bounds for matrix completion with block-missingness. We then investigate the empirical performance of the proposed methods on simulations and on real-world data examples, through which we show the efficacy of these methods for estimating functional connectivity from calcium imaging data.

Inference for Interpretable Machine Learning: Fast, Model-Agnostic Confidence Intervals for Feature Importance

In order to trust machine learning for high-stakes problems, we need models to be both reliable and interpretable. Recently, there has been a growing body of work on interpretable machine learning which generates human understandable insights into data, models, or predictions. At the same time, there has been increased interest in quantifying the reliability and uncertainty of machine learning predictions, often in the form of confidence intervals for predictions using conformal inference. Yet, there has been relatively little attention given to the reliability and uncertainty of machine learning interpretations, which is the focus of this paper. Our goal is to develop confidence intervals for a widely-used form of machine learning interpretation: feature importance. We specifically seek to develop universal model-agnostic and assumption-light confidence intervals for feature importance that will be valid for any machine learning model and for any regression or classification task. We do so by leveraging a form of random observation and feature subsampling called minipatch ensembles and show that our approach provides assumption-light asymptotic coverage for the feature importance score of any model. Further, our approach is fast as computations needed for inference come nearly for free as part of the ensemble learning process. Finally, we also show that our same procedure can be leveraged to provide valid confidence intervals for predictions, hence providing fast, simultaneous quantification of the uncertainty of both model predictions and interpretations. We validate our intervals on a series of synthetic and real data examples, showing that our approach detects the correct important features and exhibits many computational and statistical advantages over existing methods.

Network Clustering for Latent State and Changepoint Detection

Network models provide a powerful and flexible framework for analyzing a wide range of structured data sources. In many situations of interest, however, multiple networks can be constructed to capture different aspects of an underlying phenomenon or to capture changing behavior over time. In such settings, it is often useful to cluster together related networks in attempt to identify patterns of common structure. In this paper, we propose a convex approach for the task of network clustering. Our approach uses a convex fusion penalty to induce a smoothly-varying tree-like cluster structure, eliminating the need to select the number of clusters a priori. We provide an efficient algorithm for convex network clustering and demonstrate its effectiveness on synthetic examples.

Gaussian Graphical Model Selection for Huge Data via Minipatch Learning

Gaussian graphical models are essential unsupervised learning techniques to estimate conditional dependence relationships between sets of nodes. While graphical model selection is a well-studied problem with many popular techniques, there are typically three key practical challenges: i) many existing methods become computationally intractable in huge-data settings with tens of thousands of nodes; ii) the need for separate data-driven tuning hyperparameter selection procedures considerably adds to the computational burden; iii) the statistical accuracy of selected edges often deteriorates as the dimension and/or the complexity of the underlying graph structures increase. We tackle these problems by proposing the Minipatch Graph (MPGraph) estimator. Our approach builds upon insights from the latent variable graphical model problem and utilizes ensembles of thresholded graph estimators fit to tiny, random subsets of both the observations and the nodes, termed minipatches. As estimates are fit on small problems, our approach is computationally fast with integrated stability-based hyperparameter tuning. Additionally, we prove that under certain conditions our MPGraph algorithm achieves finite-sample graph selection consistency. We compare our approach to state-of-the-art computational approaches to Gaussian graphical model selection including the BigQUIC algorithm, and empirically demonstrate that our approach is not only more accurate but also extensively faster for huge graph selection problems.

Fast and Interpretable Consensus Clustering via Minipatch Learning

Consensus clustering has been widely used in bioinformatics and other applications to improve the accuracy, stability and reliability of clustering results. This approach ensembles cluster co-occurrences from multiple clustering runs on subsampled observations. For application to large-scale bioinformatics data, such as to discover cell types from single-cell sequencing data, for example, consensus clustering has two significant drawbacks: (i) computational inefficiency due to repeatedly applying clustering algorithms, and (ii) lack of interpretability into the important features for differentiating clusters. In this paper, we address these two challenges by developing IMPACC: Interpretable MiniPatch Adaptive Consensus Clustering. Our approach adopts three major innovations. We ensemble cluster co-occurrences from tiny subsets of both observations and features, termed minipatches, thus dramatically reducing computation time. Additionally, we develop adaptive sampling schemes for observations, which result in both improved reliability and computational savings, as well as adaptive sampling schemes of features, which leads to interpretable solutions by quickly learning the most relevant features that differentiate clusters. We study our approach on synthetic data and a variety of real large-scale bioinformatics data sets; results show that our approach not only yields more accurate and interpretable cluster solutions, but it also substantially improves computational efficiency compared to standard consensus clustering approaches.