Auto-Configured Explainable Graph Neural Networks for Multi-Site Pollution Prediction

Accurate particulate matter (PM) prediction is crucial for mitigating air pollution. Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) effectively model spatiotemporal dependencies, but predefined graphs limit adaptability, and some datasets complicate learning. This study introduces a graph construction method based on a confusion matrix from a supervised learning process to dynamically capture inter-class relationships. Additionally, a hybrid loss function that combines energy distance and Huber loss is applied to address the vanishing gradient problem and improve learning stability. The approach is evaluated using air pollution data from the University of Utah AirU Pollution Monitoring Network in Salt Lake City, UT, with five GNN models: Graph Convolutional Networks (GCNs), Simple Graph Convolutional Networks (SGConv), Graph Isomorphism Networks (GINs), Graph Attention Networks (GATs), and GraphSage. The experimental results of single- and multistep predictions confirm that GraphSage achieves the highest accuracy in predicting the concentrations of PM${1}$, PM${10}$, and PM$_{2.5}$ over different time horizons. Furthermore, {\color{black} GNNExplainer (Graph Neural Network Explainer) and PGExplainer (Probabilistic Graph Explainer)} are applied to interpret feature importance and graph structure, ensuring model transparency. Results show improved prediction accuracy, with GNN models outperforming traditional machine learning \textcolor{black}{and deep learning models (i.e., Prophet, Long short-term memory, Gated recurrent units} in air pollution forecasting.

Extended Hybrid Timed Petri Nets with Semi-Supervised Anomaly Detection for Switched Systems, Modelling and Fault Detection

Hybrid physical systems combine continuous and discrete dynamics, which can be simultaneously affected by faults. Conventional fault detection methods often treat these dynamics separately, limiting their ability to capture interacting fault patterns. This paper proposes a unified fault detection framework for hybrid dynamical systems by integrating an Extended Timed Continuous Petri Net (ETCPN) model with semi-supervised anomaly detection. The proposed ETCPN extends existing Petri net formalisms by introducing marking-dependent flow functions, enabling intrinsic coupling between discrete and continuous dynamics. Based on this structure, a mode-dependent hybrid observer is designed, whose stability under arbitrary switching is ensured via Linear Matrix Inequalities (LMIs), solved offline to determine observer gains. The observer generates residuals that reflect discrepancies between the estimated and measured outputs. These residuals are processed using semi-supervised methods, including One-Class SVM (OC-SVM), Support Vector Data Description (SVDD), and Elliptic Envelope (EE), trained exclusively on normal data to avoid reliance on labeled faults. The framework is validated through simulations involving discrete faults, continuous faults, and hybrid faults. Results demonstrate high detection accuracy, fast convergence, and robust performance, with OC-SVM and SVDD providing the best trade-off between detection rate and false alarms. The framework is computationally efficient for real-time deployment, as the main complexity is confined to the offline LMI design phase.

Exploring the Magnitude-Shape Plot Framework for Anomaly Detection in Crowded Video Scenes

Detecting anomalies in crowded video scenes is critical for public safety, enabling timely identification of potential threats. This study explores video anomaly detection within a Functional Data Analysis framework, focusing on the application of the Magnitude-Shape (MS) Plot. Autoencoders are used to learn and reconstruct normal behavioral patterns from anomaly-free training data, resulting in low reconstruction errors for normal frames and higher errors for frames with potential anomalies. The reconstruction error matrix for each frame is treated as multivariate functional data, with the MS-Plot applied to analyze both magnitude and shape deviations, enhancing the accuracy of anomaly detection. Using its capacity to evaluate the magnitude and shape of deviations, the MS-Plot offers a statistically principled and interpretable framework for anomaly detection. The proposed methodology is evaluated on two widely used benchmark datasets, UCSD Ped2 and CUHK Avenue, demonstrating promising performance. It performs better than traditional univariate functional detectors (e.g., FBPlot, TVDMSS, Extremal Depth, and Outliergram) and several state-of-the-art methods. These results highlight the potential of the MS-Plot-based framework for effective anomaly detection in crowded video scenes.