Multi-Sensor Data Fusion for Accurate Traffic Speed and Travel Time Reconstruction

This paper studies the joint reconstruction of traffic speeds and travel times by fusing sparse sensor data. Raw speed data from inductive loop detectors and floating cars as well as travel time measurements are combined using different fusion techniques. A novel fusion approach is developed which extends existing speed reconstruction methods to integrate low-resolution travel time data. Several state-of-the-art methods and the novel approach are evaluated on their performance in reconstructing traffic speeds and travel times using various combinations of sensor data. Algorithms and sensor setups are evaluated with real loop detector, floating car and Bluetooth data collected during severe congestion on German freeway A9. Two main aspects are examined: (i) which algorithm provides the most accurate result depending on the used data and (ii) which type of sensor and which combination of sensors yields higher estimation accuracies. Results show that, overall, the novel approach applied to a combination of floating-car data and loop data provides the best speed and travel time accuracy. Furthermore, a fusion of sources improves the reconstruction quality in many, but not all cases. In particular, Bluetooth data only provide a benefit for reconstruction purposes if integrated distinctively.

Estimating Traffic Speeds using Probe Data: A Deep Neural Network Approach

This paper presents a dedicated Deep Neural Network (DNN) architecture that reconstructs space-time traffic speeds on freeways given sparse data. The DNN is constructed in such a way, that it learns heterogeneous congestion patterns using a large dataset of sparse speed data, in particular from probe vehicles. Input to the DNN are two equally sized input matrices: one containing raw measurement data, and the other indicates the cells occupied with data. The DNN, comprising multiple stacked convolutional layers with an encoding-decoding structure and feed-forward paths, transforms the input into a full matrix of traffic speeds. The proposed DNN architecture is evaluated with respect to its ability to accurately reconstruct heterogeneous congestion patterns under varying input data sparsity. Therefore, a large set of empirical Floating-Car Data (FCD) collected on German freeway A9 during two months is utilized. In total, 43 congestion distinct scenarios are observed which comprise moving and stationary congestion patterns. A data augmentation technique is applied to generate input-output samples of the data, which makes the DNN shift-invariant as well as capable of managing varying data sparsities. The DNN is trained and subsequently applied to sparse data of an unseen congestion scenario. The results show that the DNN is able to apply learned patterns, and reconstructs moving as well as stationary congested traffic with high accuracy; even given highly sparse input data. Reconstructed speeds are compared qualitatively and quantitatively with the results of several state-of-the-art methods such as the Adaptive Smoothing Method (ASM), the Phase-Based Smoothing Method (PSM) and a standard Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) architecture. As a result, the DNN outperforms the other methods significantly.

Feature Engineering for Data-driven Traffic State Forecast in Urban Road Networks

Most traffic state forecast algorithms when applied to urban road networks consider only the links in close proximity to the target location. However, for longer-term forecasts also the traffic state of more distant links or regions of the network are expected to provide valuable information for a data-driven algorithm. This paper studies these expectations of using a network clustering algorithm and one year of Floating Car (FCD) collected by a large fleet of vehicles. First, a clustering algorithm is applied to the data in order to extract congestion-prone regions in the Munich city network. The level of congestion inside these clusters is analyzed with the help of statistical tools. Clear spatio-temporal congestion patterns and correlations between the clustered regions are identified. These correlations are integrated into a K- Nearest Neighbors (KNN) travel time prediction algorithm. In a comparison with other approaches, this method achieves the best results. The statistical results and the performance of the KNN predictor indicate that the consideration of the network-wide traffic is a valuable feature for predictors and a promising way to develop more accurate algorithms in the future.