This paper is focused on nonlinear prediction coding, which consists on the prediction of a speech sample based on a nonlinear combination of previous samples. It is known that in the generation of the glottal pulse, the wave equation does not behave linearly [2], [10], and we model these effects by means of a nonlinear prediction of speech based on a parametric neural network model. This work is centred on the neural net weight's quantization and on the compression gain.
In the last years there has been a growing interest for nonlinear speech models. Several works have been published revealing the better performance of nonlinear techniques, but little attention has been dedicated to the implementation of the nonlinear model into real applications. This work is focused on the study of the behaviour of a nonlinear predictive model based on neural nets, in a speech waveform coder. Our novel scheme obtains an improvement in SEGSNR between 1 and 2 dB for an adaptive quantization ranging from 2 to 5 bits.
This study assesses the influence of the forecast horizon on the forecasting performance of several machine learning techniques. We compare the fo recast accuracy of Support Vector Regression (SVR) to Neural Network (NN) models, using a linear model as a benchmark. We focus on international tourism demand to all seventeen regions of Spain. The SVR with a Gaussian radial basis function kernel outperforms the rest of the models for the longest forecast horizons. We also find that machine learning methods improve their forecasting accuracy with respect to linear models as forecast horizons increase. This result shows the suitability of SVR for medium and long term forecasting.
This study presents an extension of the Gaussian process regression model for multiple-input multiple-output forecasting. This approach allows modelling the cross-dependencies between a given set of input variables and generating a vectorial prediction. Making use of the existing correlations in international tourism demand to all seventeen regions of Spain, the performance of the proposed model is assessed in a multiple-step-ahead forecasting comparison. The results of the experiment in a multivariate setting show that the Gaussian process regression model significantly improves the forecasting accuracy of a multi-layer perceptron neural network used as a benchmark. The results reveal that incorporating the connections between different markets in the modelling process may prove very useful to refine predictions at a regional level.