Uncertainty Is Not Enough: Value-of-Information Routing for Mixtures of LoRA Experts

Mixtures of low-rank adaptation experts increase parameter-efficient capacity by routing each input through a subset of adapters. Recent dynamic routers activate more experts when the router or prediction is uncertain. This rule silently equates uncertainty with useful additional computation: an uncertain example may contain complementary, unqueried expert evidence, but it may instead remain ambiguous after every expert agrees. We formulate routing as certified value-of-information allocation. VI-MoLE learns the counterfactual risk remaining after each expert prefix, converts these predictions into simultaneous upper-risk certificates on held-out calibration data, and spends a global adapter budget on the token--layer action with the largest certified marginal risk reduction per unit cost. A terminal certificate then decides whether to answer or abstain. Unlike an uncertainty gate, this procedure distinguishes present ambiguity from recoverable and residual risk. We prove simultaneous certificate validity, optimal greedy allocation under diminishing certified gains, and allocation regret under value-estimation error. The evaluation protocol tests matched-compute accuracy, certificate coverage, risk--coverage, distribution shift, and tail latency against fixed and dynamic MoE-LoRA routers.

Spend Experts Where You Are Unsure: Confidence-Adaptive Routing for Mixture-of-Experts LoRA

Mixture-of-Experts (MoE) variants of Low-Rank Adaptation (LoRA) route every token to a fixed number of experts $k$. Tokens differ in how uncertain the model is about them, so a single k over-spends on easy tokens and under-serves hard ones. We observe that the router's output distribution is already a per-token uncertainty signal: peaked mass indicates confidence, while a flat distribution indicates ambiguity. We introduce CARE (Confidence-Adaptive Routing of Experts), which admits experts in a nucleus fashion. Experts are activated in decreasing router weight until their cumulative mass reaches a threshold, with a small extension when the admitted experts disagree. A budget thermostat calibrates the threshold so that the average number of active experts matches any target. CARE is a drop-in, single-forward-pass rule with no extra parameters. Across eight commonsense benchmarks on LLaMA-3.1-8B and Qwen2.5-7B, as well as math, code, and knowledge tasks, CARE improves over fixed top-k MoE-LoRA at matched compute and matches the fixed-k=4 baseline while activating fewer experts. The same confidence and disagreement signals also improve out-of-distribution detection over MSP, entropy, and multi-pass proxies. We support the design with nucleus fidelity, budget optimality, and an epistemic reading of disagreement, and we release code.

FRAME: Learning the Adaptation Domain with a Mixture of Fractional-Fourier Experts

Parameter-efficient fine-tuning (PEFT) reparameterizes weight updates in a fixed basis: low-rank adapters operate in the spatial domain, while a recent line of spectral methods operates in a fixed Fourier domain. We argue that the choice of domain is itself a design degree of freedom that should be learned, and that no single basis is optimal across tasks, layers, or tokens. We introduce Fractional-Fourier Mixture of Experts, a mixture-of-experts adapter in which every expert carries a learnable fractional-Fourier order that continuously interpolates between the spatial domain (recovering vanilla LoRA) and the Fourier domain (recovering a spectral adapter). Routing tokens through experts that occupy different points on this spatial-spectral continuum lets the model place each low-rank update in the domain where it is most compact, and -- because fractional-Fourier operators of different orders are mutually incoherent -- makes the experts naturally decorrelated, which reduces interference and improves multi-task composition. The order is a single scalar per expert, trained with a separate optimizer, and the transform is computed with an $\mathcal{O}(d\log d)$ chirp--FFT surrogate, so Fractional-Fourier Mixture of Experts adds negligible cost over standard MoE-LoRA. Across commonsense, mathematical, code, and knowledge benchmarks on LLaMA-3.1-8B and Qwen2.5-7B, Fractional-Fourier Mixture of Experts improves over strong MoE-LoRA and spectral baselines -- including FlyLoRA, FourierMoE, and HMoRA -- while keeping the active-parameter budget small, and analysis shows that the learned orders specialize by task and layer in interpretable ways.