Estimators and Performance Bounds for Short Periodic Pulses

In many industrial applications, signals with short periodic pulses, caused by repeated steps in the manufacturing process, are present, and their fundamental frequency or period may be of interest. Fundamental frequency estimation is in many cases performed by describing the periodic signal as a multiharmonic signal and employing the corresponding maximum likelihood estimator. However, since signals with short periodic pulses contain a large number of noise-only samples, the multiharmonic signal model is not optimal to describe them. In this work, two models of short periodic pulses with known and unknown pulse shape are considered. For both models, the corresponding maximum likelihood estimators, Fisher information matrices, and approximate Cram\'er-Rao lower bounds are presented. Numerical results demonstrate that the proposed estimators outperform the maximum likelihood estimator based on the multiharmonic signal model for low signal-to-noise ratios.

Robustness of Explainable Artificial Intelligence in Industrial Process Modelling

eXplainable Artificial Intelligence (XAI) aims at providing understandable explanations of black box models. In this paper, we evaluate current XAI methods by scoring them based on ground truth simulations and sensitivity analysis. To this end, we used an Electric Arc Furnace (EAF) model to better understand the limits and robustness characteristics of XAI methods such as SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP), Local Interpretable Model-agnostic Explanations (LIME), as well as Averaged Local Effects (ALE) or Smooth Gradients (SG) in a highly topical setting. These XAI methods were applied to various types of black-box models and then scored based on their correctness compared to the ground-truth sensitivity of the data-generating processes using a novel scoring evaluation methodology over a range of simulated additive noise. The resulting evaluation shows that the capability of the Machine Learning (ML) models to capture the process accurately is, indeed, coupled with the correctness of the explainability of the underlying data-generating process. We furthermore show the differences between XAI methods in their ability to correctly predict the true sensitivity of the modeled industrial process.