Analyzing historical diagnosis code data from NIH N3C and RECOVER Programs using deep learning to determine risk factors for Long Covid

Post-acute sequelae of SARS-CoV-2 infection (PASC) or Long COVID is an emerging medical condition that has been observed in several patients with a positive diagnosis for COVID-19. Historical Electronic Health Records (EHR) like diagnosis codes, lab results and clinical notes have been analyzed using deep learning and have been used to predict future clinical events. In this paper, we propose an interpretable deep learning approach to analyze historical diagnosis code data from the National COVID Cohort Collective (N3C) to find the risk factors contributing to developing Long COVID. Using our deep learning approach, we are able to predict if a patient is suffering from Long COVID from a temporally ordered list of diagnosis codes up to 45 days post the first COVID positive test or diagnosis for each patient, with an accuracy of 70.48\%. We are then able to examine the trained model using Gradient-weighted Class Activation Mapping (GradCAM) to give each input diagnoses a score. The highest scored diagnosis were deemed to be the most important for making the correct prediction for a patient. We also propose a way to summarize these top diagnoses for each patient in our cohort and look at their temporal trends to determine which codes contribute towards a positive Long COVID diagnosis.

Characterizing Design Patterns of EHR-Driven Phenotype Extraction Algorithms

The automatic development of phenotype algorithms from Electronic Health Record data with machine learning (ML) techniques is of great interest given the current practice is very time-consuming and resource intensive. The extraction of design patterns from phenotype algorithms is essential to understand their rationale and standard, with great potential to automate the development process. In this pilot study, we perform network visualization on the design patterns and their associations with phenotypes and sites. We classify design patterns using the fragments from previously annotated phenotype algorithms as the ground truth. The classification performance is used as a proxy for coherence at the attribution level. The bag-of-words representation with knowledge-based features generated a good performance in the classification task (0.79 macro-f1 scores). Good classification accuracy with simple features demonstrated the attribution coherence and the feasibility of automatic identification of design patterns. Our results point to both the feasibility and challenges of automatic identification of phenotyping design patterns, which would power the automatic development of phenotype algorithms.