Abstract:Agentic AI is increasingly judged not by fluent output alone but by whether it can act, remember, and verify under partial observability, delay, and strategic observation. Existing research often studies these demands separately: robotics emphasizes control, retrieval systems emphasize memory, and alignment or assurance work emphasizes checking and oversight. This article argues that squirrel ecology offers a sharp comparative case because arboreal locomotion, scatter-hoarding, and audience-sensitive caching couple all three demands in one organism. We synthesize evidence from fox, eastern gray, and, in one field comparison, red squirrels, and impose an explicit inference ladder: empirical observation, minimal computational inference, and AI design conjecture. We introduce a minimal hierarchical partially observed control model with latent dynamics, structured episodic memory, observer-belief state, option-level actions, and delayed verifier signals. This motivates three hypotheses: (H1) fast local feedback plus predictive compensation improves robustness under hidden dynamics shifts; (H2) memory organized for future control improves delayed retrieval under cue conflict and load; and (H3) verifiers and observer models inside the action-memory loop reduce silent failure and information leakage while remaining vulnerable to misspecification. A downstream conjecture is that role-differentiated proposer/executor/checker/adversary systems may reduce correlated error under asymmetric information and verification burden. The contribution is a comparative perspective and benchmark agenda: a disciplined program of falsifiable claims about the coupling of control, memory, and verifiable action.
Abstract:Evidence on AI in software engineering still leans heavily toward individual task completion, while evidence on team-level delivery remains scarce. We report a retrospective longitudinal field study of Chiron, an industrial platform that coordinates humans and AI agents across four delivery stages: analysis, planning, implementation, and validation. The study covers three real software modernization programs -- a COBOL banking migration (~30k LOC), a large accounting modernization (~400k LOC), and a .NET/Angular mortgage modernization (~30k LOC) -- observed across five delivery configurations: a traditional baseline and four successive platform versions (V1--V4). The benchmark separates observed outcomes (stage durations, task volumes, validation-stage issues, first-release coverage) from modeled outcomes (person-days and senior-equivalent effort under explicit staffing scenarios). Under baseline staffing assumptions, portfolio totals move from 36.0 to 9.3 summed project-weeks; modeled raw effort falls from 1080.0 to 232.5 person-days; modeled senior-equivalent effort falls from 1080.0 to 139.5 SEE-days; validation-stage issue load falls from 8.03 to 2.09 issues per 100 tasks; and first-release coverage rises from 77.0% to 90.5%. V3 and V4 add acceptance-criteria validation, repository-native review, and hybrid human-agent execution, simultaneously improving speed, coverage, and issue load. The evidence supports a central thesis: the largest gains appear when AI is embedded in an orchestrated workflow rather than deployed as an isolated coding assistant.