Real-time Ionospheric Imaging of S4 Scintillation from Limited Data with Parallel Kalman Filters and Smoothness

In this paper, we propose a Bayesian framework to create two dimensional ionospheric images of high spatio-temporal resolution to monitor ionospheric irregularities as measured by the S4 index. Here, we recast the standard Bayesian recursive filtering for a linear Gaussian state-space model, also referred to as the Kalman filter, first by augmenting the (pierce point) observation model with connectivity information stemming from the insight and assumptions/standard modeling about the spatial distribution of the scintillation activity on the ionospheric shell at 350 km altitude. Thus, we achieve to handle the limited spatio-temporal observations. Then, by introducing a set of Kalman filters running in parallel, we mitigate the uncertainty related to a tuning parameter of the proposed augmented model. The output images are a weighted average of the state estimates of the individual filters. We demonstrate our approach by rendering two dimensional real-time ionospheric images of S4 amplitude scintillation at 350 km over South America with temporal resolution of one minute. Furthermore, we employ extra S4 data that was not used in producing these ionospheric images, to check and verify the ability of our images to predict this extra data in particular ionospheric pierce points. Our results show that in areas with a network of ground receivers with a relatively good coverage (e.g. within a couple of kilometers distance) the produced images can provide reliable real-time results. Our proposed algorithmic framework can be readily used to visualize real-time ionospheric images taking as inputs the available scintillation data provided from freely available web-servers.

Simultaneous Skull Conductivity and Focal Source Imaging from EEG Recordings with the help of Bayesian Uncertainty Modelling

The electroencephalography (EEG) source imaging problem is very sensitive to the electrical modelling of the skull of the patient under examination. Unfortunately, the currently available EEG devices and their embedded software do not take this into account; instead, it is common to use a literature-based skull conductivity parameter. In this paper, we propose a statistical method based on the Bayesian approximation error approach to compensate for source imaging errors due to the unknown skull conductivity and, simultaneously, to compute a low-order estimate for the actual skull conductivity value. By using simulated EEG data that corresponds to focal source activity, we demonstrate the potential of the method to reconstruct the underlying focal sources and low-order errors induced by the unknown skull conductivity. Subsequently, the estimated errors are used to approximate the skull conductivity. The results indicate clear improvements in the source localization accuracy and feasible skull conductivity estimates.