Prediction of Traffic Flow via Connected Vehicles

We propose a Short-term Traffic flow Prediction (STP) framework so that transportation authorities take early actions to control flow and prevent congestion. We anticipate flow at future time frames on a target road segment based on historical flow data and innovative features such as real time feeds and trajectory data provided by Connected Vehicles (CV) technology. To cope with the fact that existing approaches do not adapt to variation in traffic, we show how this novel approach allows advanced modelling by integrating into the forecasting of flow, the impact of the various events that CV realistically encountered on segments along their trajectory. We solve the STP problem with a Deep Neural Networks (DNN) in a multitask learning setting augmented by input from CV. Results show that our approach, namely MTL-CV, with an average Root-Mean-Square Error (RMSE) of 0.052, outperforms state-of-the-art ARIMA time series (RMSE of 0.255) and baseline classifiers (RMSE of 0.122). Compared to single task learning with Artificial Neural Network (ANN), ANN had a lower performance, 0.113 for RMSE, than MTL-CV. MTL-CV learned historical similarities between segments, in contrast to using direct historical trends in the measure, because trends may not exist in the measure but do in the similarities.

SIGMA : Strengthening IDS with GAN and Metaheuristics Attacks

An Intrusion Detection System (IDS) is a key cybersecurity tool for network administrators as it identifies malicious traffic and cyberattacks. With the recent successes of machine learning techniques such as deep learning, more and more IDS are now using machine learning algorithms to detect attacks faster. However, these systems lack robustness when facing previously unseen types of attacks. With the increasing number of new attacks, especially against Internet of Things devices, having a robust IDS able to spot unusual and new attacks becomes necessary. This work explores the possibility of leveraging generative adversarial models to improve the robustness of machine learning based IDS. More specifically, we propose a new method named SIGMA, that leverages adversarial examples to strengthen IDS against new types of attacks. Using Generative Adversarial Networks (GAN) and metaheuristics, SIGMA %Our method consists in generates adversarial examples, iteratively, and uses it to retrain a machine learning-based IDS, until a convergence of the detection rate (i.e. until the detection system is not improving anymore). A round of improvement consists of a generative phase, in which we use GANs and metaheuristics to generate instances ; an evaluation phase in which we calculate the detection rate of those newly generated attacks ; and a training phase, in which we train the IDS with those attacks. We have evaluated the SIGMA method for four standard machine learning classification algorithms acting as IDS, with a combination of GAN and a hybrid local-search and genetic algorithm, to generate new datasets of attacks. Our results show that SIGMA can successfully generate adversarial attacks against different machine learning based IDS. Also, using SIGMA, we can improve the performance of an IDS to up to 100\% after as little as two rounds of improvement.