This study proposes an approach for predicting the impacts of scenarios on food security and demonstrates its application in a case study. The approach involves two main steps: (1) scenario definition, in which the end user specifies the assumptions and impacts of the scenario using a scenario template, and (2) scenario evaluation, in which a Vector Autoregression (VAR) model is used in combination with Monte Carlo simulation to generate predictions for the impacts of the scenario based on the defined assumptions and impacts. The case study is based on a proprietary time series food security database created using data from the Food and Agriculture Organization of the United Nations (FAOSTAT), the World Bank, and the United States Department of Agriculture (USDA). The database contains a wide range of data on various indicators of food security, such as production, trade, consumption, prices, availability, access, and nutritional value. The results show that the proposed approach can be used to predict the potential impacts of scenarios on food security and that the proprietary time series food security database can be used to support this approach. The study provides specific insights on how this approach can inform decision-making processes related to food security such as food prices and availability in the case study region.
In this paper, we propose a GAN-based approach for gap filling in borehole images created by wireline microresistivity imaging tools. The proposed method utilizes a generator, global discriminator, and local discriminator to inpaint the missing regions of the image. The generator is based on an auto-encoder architecture with skip-connections, and the loss function used is the Wasserstein GAN loss. Our experiments on a dataset of borehole images demonstrate that the proposed model can effectively deal with large-scale missing pixels and generate realistic completion results. This approach can improve the quantitative evaluation of reservoirs and provide an essential basis for interpreting geological phenomena and reservoir parameters.