Estimating and detecting random processes on the unit circle

The problem of detecting a sinusoidal signal with randomly varying frequency has a long history. It is one of the core problems in signal processing, arising in many applications including, for example, underwater acoustic frequency line tracking, demodulation of FM radio communications, laser phase drift in optical communications and, recently, continuous gravitational wave astronomy. In this paper we describe a Markov Chain Monte Carlo based procedure to compute a specific detection posterior density. We demonstrate via simulation that our approach results in an up to $25$ percent higher detection rate than Hidden Markov Model based solutions, which are generally considered to be the leading techniques for these problems.

Bayesian Detection of a Sinusoidal Signal with Randomly Varying Frequency

The problem of detecting a sinusoidal signal with randomly varying frequency has a long history. It is one of the core problems in signal processing, arising in many applications including, for example, underwater acoustic frequency line tracking, demodulation of FM radio communications, laser phase drift in optical communications and, recently, continuous gravitational wave astronomy. In this paper we describe a Markov Chain Monte Carlo based procedure to compute a specific detection posterior density. We demonstrate via simulation that our approach results in an up to $25$ percent higher detection rate than Hidden Markov Model based solutions, which are generally considered to be the leading techniques for these problems.

Testing for a Random Walk Structure in the Frequency Evolution of a Tone in Noise

Inference and hypothesis testing is constructed on the basis that a specific model holds for the data. To determine the veracity of conclusions drawn from such data analyses, one must be able to identify the presence of the assumed structure within the data. A model verification test is developed for the presence of a random walk-like structure for variations in the frequency of complex-valued sinusoidal signals measured in additive Gaussian noise. This test evaluates the joint inference of the random walk hypothesis tests found in economics literature that seek random walk behaviours in time series data, with an additional test to account for how the random walk behaves in frequency space.