An Experimentally Driven Automated Machine Learned lnter-Atomic Potential for a Refractory Oxide

Understanding the structure and properties of refractory oxides are critical for high temperature applications. In this work, a combined experimental and simulation approach uses an automated closed loop via an active-learner, which is initialized by X-ray and neutron diffraction measurements, and sequentially improves a machine-learning model until the experimentally predetermined phase space is covered. A multi-phase potential is generated for a canonical example of the archetypal refractory oxide, HfO2, by drawing a minimum number of training configurations from room temperature to the liquid state at ~2900oC. The method significantly reduces model development time and human effort.

Generalized Insider Attack Detection Implementation using NetFlow Data

Insider Attack Detection in commercial networks is a critical problem that does not have any good solutions at this current time. The problem is challenging due to the lack of visibility into live networks and a lack of a standard feature set to distinguish between different attacks. In this paper, we study an approach centered on using network data to identify attacks. Our work builds on unsupervised machine learning techniques such as One-Class SVM and bi-clustering as weak indicators of insider network attacks. We combine these techniques to limit the number of false positives to an acceptable level required for real-world deployments by using One-Class SVM to check for anomalies detected by the proposed Bi-clustering algorithm. We present a prototype implementation in Python and associated results for two different real-world representative data sets. We show that our approach is a promising tool for insider attack detection in realistic settings.

Measuring the Novelty of Natural Language Text Using the Conjunctive Clauses of a Tsetlin Machine Text Classifier

Most supervised text classification approaches assume a closed world, counting on all classes being present in the data at training time. This assumption can lead to unpredictable behaviour during operation, whenever novel, previously unseen, classes appear. Although deep learning-based methods have recently been used for novelty detection, they are challenging to interpret due to their black-box nature. This paper addresses \emph{interpretable} open-world text classification, where the trained classifier must deal with novel classes during operation. To this end, we extend the recently introduced Tsetlin machine (TM) with a novelty scoring mechanism. The mechanism uses the conjunctive clauses of the TM to measure to what degree a text matches the classes covered by the training data. We demonstrate that the clauses provide a succinct interpretable description of known topics, and that our scoring mechanism makes it possible to discern novel topics from the known ones. Empirically, our TM-based approach outperforms seven other novelty detection schemes on three out of five datasets, and performs second and third best on the remaining, with the added benefit of an interpretable propositional logic-based representation.

Novel Keyword Extraction and Language Detection Approaches

Fuzzy string matching and language classification are important tools in Natural Language Processing pipelines, this paper provides advances in both areas. We propose a fast novel approach to string tokenisation for fuzzy language matching and experimentally demonstrate an 83.6% decrease in processing time with an estimated improvement in recall of 3.1% at the cost of a 2.6% decrease in precision. This approach is able to work even where keywords are subdivided into multiple words, without needing to scan character-to-character. So far there has been little work considering using metadata to enhance language classification algorithms. We provide observational data and find the Accept-Language header is 14% more likely to match the classification than the IP Address.

Noise-Resilient Automatic Interpretation of Holter ECG Recordings

Holter monitoring, a long-term ECG recording (24-hours and more), contains a large amount of valuable diagnostic information about the patient. Its interpretation becomes a difficult and time-consuming task for the doctor who analyzes them because every heartbeat needs to be classified, thus requiring highly accurate methods for automatic interpretation. In this paper, we present a three-stage process for analysing Holter recordings with robustness to noisy signal. First stage is a segmentation neural network (NN) with encoderdecoder architecture which detects positions of heartbeats. Second stage is a classification NN which will classify heartbeats as wide or narrow. Third stage in gradient boosting decision trees (GBDT) on top of NN features that incorporates patient-wise features and further increases performance of our approach. As a part of this work we acquired 5095 Holter recordings of patients annotated by an experienced cardiologist. A committee of three cardiologists served as a ground truth annotators for the 291 examples in the test set. We show that the proposed method outperforms the selected baselines, including two commercial-grade software packages and some methods previously published in the literature.

Concentric mixtures of Mallows models for top-$k$ rankings: sampling and identifiability

In this paper, we consider mixtures of two Mallows models for top-$k$ rankings, both with the same location parameter but with different scale parameters, i.e., a mixture of concentric Mallows models. This situation arises when we have a heterogeneous population of voters formed by two homogeneous populations, one of which is a subpopulation of expert voters while the other includes the non-expert voters. We propose efficient sampling algorithms for Mallows top-$k$ rankings. We show the identifiability of both components, and the learnability of their respective parameters in this setting by, first, bounding the sample complexity for the Borda algorithm with top-$k$ rankings and second, proposing polynomial time algorithm for the separation of the rankings in each component. Finally, since the rank aggregation will suffer from a large amount of noise introduced by the non-expert voters, we adapt the Borda algorithm to be able to recover the ground truth consensus ranking which is especially consistent with the expert rankings.

On Explaining Decision Trees

Decision trees (DTs) epitomize what have become to be known as interpretable machine learning (ML) models. This is informally motivated by paths in DTs being often much smaller than the total number of features. This paper shows that in some settings DTs can hardly be deemed interpretable, with paths in a DT being arbitrarily larger than a PI-explanation, i.e. a subset-minimal set of feature values that entails the prediction. As a result, the paper proposes a novel model for computing PI-explanations of DTs, which enables computing one PI-explanation in polynomial time. Moreover, it is shown that enumeration of PI-explanations can be reduced to the enumeration of minimal hitting sets. Experimental results were obtained on a wide range of publicly available datasets with well-known DT-learning tools, and confirm that in most cases DTs have paths that are proper supersets of PI-explanations.

Multi-Interactive Attention Network for Fine-grained Feature Learning in CTR Prediction

In the Click-Through Rate (CTR) prediction scenario, user's sequential behaviors are well utilized to capture the user interest in the recent literature. However, despite being extensively studied, these sequential methods still suffer from three limitations. First, existing methods mostly utilize attention on the behavior of users, which is not always suitable for CTR prediction, because users often click on new products that are irrelevant to any historical behaviors. Second, in the real scenario, there exist numerous users that have operations a long time ago, but turn relatively inactive in recent times. Thus, it is hard to precisely capture user's current preferences through early behaviors. Third, multiple representations of user's historical behaviors in different feature subspaces are largely ignored. To remedy these issues, we propose a Multi-Interactive Attention Network (MIAN) to comprehensively extract the latent relationship among all kinds of fine-grained features (e.g., gender, age and occupation in user-profile). Specifically, MIAN contains a Multi-Interactive Layer (MIL) that integrates three local interaction modules to capture multiple representations of user preference through sequential behaviors and simultaneously utilize the fine-grained user-specific as well as context information. In addition, we design a Global Interaction Module (GIM) to learn the high-order interactions and balance the different impacts of multiple features. Finally, Offline experiment results from three datasets, together with an Online A/B test in a large-scale recommendation system, demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed approach.

Comparison Analysis of Tree Based and Ensembled Regression Algorithms for Traffic Accident Severity Prediction

Rapid increase of traffic volume on urban roads over time has changed the traffic scenario globally. It has also increased the ratio of road accidents that can be severe and fatal in the worst case. To improve traffic safety and its management on urban roads, there is a need for prediction of severity level of accidents. Various machine learning models are being used for accident prediction. In this study, tree based ensemble models (Random Forest, AdaBoost, Extra Tree, and Gradient Boosting) and ensemble of two statistical models (Logistic Regression Stochastic Gradient Descent) as voting classifiers are compared for prediction of road accident severity. Significant features that are strongly correlated with the accident severity are identified by Random Forest. Analysis proved Random Forest as the best performing model with highest classification results with 0.974 accuracy, 0.954 precision, 0.930 recall and 0.942 F-score using 20 most significant features as compared to other techniques classification of road accidents severity.

EdinburghNLP at WNUT-2020 Task 2: Leveraging Transformers with Generalized Augmentation for Identifying Informativeness in COVID-19 Tweets

Twitter has become an important communication channel in times of emergency. The ubiquitousness of smartphones enables people to announce an emergency they're observing in real-time. Because of this, more agencies are interested in programatically monitoring Twitter (disaster relief organizations and news agencies) and therefore recognizing the informativeness of a tweet can help filter noise from large volumes of data. In this paper, we present our submission for WNUT-2020 Task 2: Identification of informative COVID-19 English Tweets. Our most successful model is an ensemble of transformers including RoBERTa, XLNet, and BERTweet trained in a semi-supervised experimental setting. The proposed system achieves a F1 score of 0.9011 on the test set (ranking 7th on the leaderboard), and shows significant gains in performance compared to a baseline system using fasttext embeddings.