Conventional Bayesian Neural Networks (BNNs) are known to be capable of providing multiple outputs for a single input, the variations in which can be utilised to detect Out of Distribution (OOD) inputs. BNNs are difficult to train due to their sensitivity towards the choice of priors. To alleviate this issue, we propose pseudo-BNNs where instead of learning distributions over weights, we use point estimates and perturb weights at the time of inference. We modify the cost function of conventional BNNs and use it to learn parameters for the purpose of injecting right amount of random perturbations to each of the weights of a neural network with point estimate. In order to effectively segregate OOD inputs from In Distribution (ID) inputs using multiple outputs, we further propose two measures, derived from the index of dispersion and entropy of probability distributions, and combine them with the proposed pseudo-BNNs. Overall, this combination results in a principled technique to detect OOD samples at the time of inference. We evaluate our technique on a wide variety of neural network architectures and image classification datasets. We observe that our method achieves state of the art results and beats the related previous work on various metrics such as FPR at 95% TPR, AUROC, AUPR and Detection Error by just using 2 to 5 samples of weights per input.
Motivated by modern applications, such as online advertisement and recommender systems, we study the top-$k$ extreme contextual bandits problem, where the total number of arms can be enormous, and the learner is allowed to select $k$ arms and observe all or some of the rewards for the chosen arms. We first propose an algorithm for the non-extreme realizable setting, utilizing the Inverse Gap Weighting strategy for selecting multiple arms. We show that our algorithm has a regret guarantee of $O(k\sqrt{(A-k+1)T \log (|\mathcal{F}|T)})$, where $A$ is the total number of arms and $\mathcal{F}$ is the class containing the regression function, while only requiring $\tilde{O}(A)$ computation per time step. In the extreme setting, where the total number of arms can be in the millions, we propose a practically-motivated arm hierarchy model that induces a certain structure in mean rewards to ensure statistical and computational efficiency. The hierarchical structure allows for an exponential reduction in the number of relevant arms for each context, thus resulting in a regret guarantee of $O(k\sqrt{(\log A-k+1)T \log (|\mathcal{F}|T)})$. Finally, we implement our algorithm using a hierarchical linear function class and show superior performance with respect to well-known benchmarks on simulated bandit feedback experiments using extreme multi-label classification datasets. On a dataset with three million arms, our reduction scheme has an average inference time of only 7.9 milliseconds, which is a 100x improvement.
This article is an introductory work towards a larger research framework relative to Scientific Prediction. It is a mixed between science and philosophy of science, therefore we can talk about Experimental Philosophy of Science. As a first result, we introduce a new forecasting method based on image completion, named Forecasting Method by Image Inpainting (FM2I). In fact, time series forecasting is transformed into fully images- and signal-based processing procedures. After transforming a time series data into its corresponding image, the problem of data forecasting becomes essentially a problem of image inpainting problem, i.e., completing missing data in the image. An extensive experimental evaluation is conducted using a large dataset proposed by the well-known M3-competition. Results show that FM2I represents an efficient and robust tool for time series forecasting. It has achieved prominent results in terms of accuracy and outperforms the best M3 forecasting methods.
Achieving accurate and robust global situational awareness of a complex time-evolving field from a limited number of sensors has been a longstanding challenge. This reconstruction problem is especially difficult when sensors are sparsely positioned in a seemingly random or unorganized manner, which is often encountered in a range of scientific and engineering problems. Moreover, these sensors can be in motion and can become online or offline over time. The key leverage in addressing this scientific issue is the wealth of data accumulated from the sensors. As a solution to this problem, we propose a data-driven spatial field recovery technique founded on a structured grid-based deep-learning approach for arbitrary positioned sensors of any numbers. It should be noted that the na\"ive use of machine learning becomes prohibitively expensive for global field reconstruction and is furthermore not adaptable to an arbitrary number of sensors. In the present work, we consider the use of Voronoi tessellation to obtain a structured-grid representation from sensor locations enabling the computationally tractable use of convolutional neural networks. One of the central features of the present method is its compatibility with deep-learning based super-resolution reconstruction techniques for structured sensor data that are established for image processing. The proposed reconstruction technique is demonstrated for unsteady wake flow, geophysical data, and three-dimensional turbulence. The current framework is able to handle an arbitrary number of moving sensors, and thereby overcomes a major limitation with existing reconstruction methods. The presented technique opens a new pathway towards the practical use of neural networks for real-time global field estimation.
Network pruning is an effective approach to reduce network complexity without performance compromise. Existing studies achieve the sparsity of neural networks via time-consuming weight tuning or complex search on networks with expanded width, which greatly limits the applications of network pruning. In this paper, we show that high-performing and sparse sub-networks without the involvement of weight tuning, termed "lottery jackpots", exist in pre-trained models with unexpanded width. For example, we obtain a lottery jackpot that has only 10% parameters and still reaches the performance of the original dense VGGNet-19 without any modifications on the pre-trained weights. Furthermore, we observe that the sparse masks derived from many existing pruning criteria have a high overlap with the searched mask of our lottery jackpot, among which, the magnitude-based pruning results in the most similar mask with ours. Based on this insight, we initialize our sparse mask using the magnitude pruning, resulting in at least 3x cost reduction on the lottery jackpot search while achieves comparable or even better performance. Specifically, our magnitude-based lottery jackpot removes 90% weights in the ResNet-50, while easily obtains more than 70% top-1 accuracy using only 10 searching epochs on ImageNet.
Action recognition and detection in the context of long untrimmed video sequences has seen an increased attention from the research community. However, annotation of complex activities is usually time consuming and challenging in practice. Therefore, recent works started to tackle the problem of unsupervised learning of sub-actions in complex activities. This paper proposes a novel approach for unsupervised sub-action learning in complex activities. The proposed method maps both visual and temporal representations to a latent space where the sub-actions are learnt discriminatively in an end-to-end fashion. To this end, we propose to learn sub-actions as latent concepts and a novel discriminative latent concept learning (DLCL) module aids in learning sub-actions. The proposed DLCL module lends on the idea of latent concepts to learn compact representations in the latent embedding space in an unsupervised way. The result is a set of latent vectors that can be interpreted as cluster centers in the embedding space. The latent space itself is formed by a joint visual and temporal embedding capturing the visual similarity and temporal ordering of the data. Our joint learning with discriminative latent concept module is novel which eliminates the need for explicit clustering. We validate our approach on three benchmark datasets and show that the proposed combination of visual-temporal embedding and discriminative latent concepts allow to learn robust action representations in an unsupervised setting.
Knowledge Graph (KG) is a flexible structure that is able to describe the complex relationship between data entities. Currently, most KG embedding models are trained based on negative sampling, i.e., the model aims to maximize some similarity of the connected entities in the KG, while minimizing the similarity of the sampled disconnected entities. Negative sampling helps to reduce the time complexity of model learning by only considering a subset of negative instances, which may fail to deliver stable model performance due to the uncertainty in the sampling procedure. To avoid such deficiency, we propose a new framework for KG embedding -- Efficient Non-Sampling Knowledge Graph Embedding (NS-KGE). The basic idea is to consider all of the negative instances in the KG for model learning, and thus to avoid negative sampling. The framework can be applied to square-loss based knowledge graph embedding models or models whose loss can be converted to a square loss. A natural side-effect of this non-sampling strategy is the increased computational complexity of model learning. To solve the problem, we leverage mathematical derivations to reduce the complexity of non-sampling loss function, which eventually provides us both better efficiency and better accuracy in KG embedding compared with existing models. Experiments on benchmark datasets show that our NS-KGE framework can achieve a better performance on efficiency and accuracy over traditional negative sampling based models, and that the framework is applicable to a large class of knowledge graph embedding models.
Understanding and modeling the dynamics of human gaze behavior in 360$^\circ$ environments is a key challenge in computer vision and virtual reality. Generative adversarial approaches could alleviate this challenge by generating a large number of possible scanpaths for unseen images. Existing methods for scanpath generation, however, do not adequately predict realistic scanpaths for 360$^\circ$ images. We present ScanGAN360, a new generative adversarial approach to address this challenging problem. Our network generator is tailored to the specifics of 360$^\circ$ images representing immersive environments. Specifically, we accomplish this by leveraging the use of a spherical adaptation of dynamic-time warping as a loss function and proposing a novel parameterization of 360$^\circ$ scanpaths. The quality of our scanpaths outperforms competing approaches by a large margin and is almost on par with the human baseline. ScanGAN360 thus allows fast simulation of large numbers of virtual observers, whose behavior mimics real users, enabling a better understanding of gaze behavior and novel applications in virtual scene design.
The success of modern deep learning algorithms for image segmentation heavily depends on the availability of large datasets with clean pixel-level annotations (masks), where the objects of interest are accurately delineated. Lack of time and expertise during data annotation leads to incorrect boundaries and label noise. It is known that deep convolutional neural networks (DCNNs) can memorize even completely random labels, resulting in poor accuracy. We propose a framework to train binary segmentation DCNNs using sets of unreliable pixel-level annotations. Erroneously labeled pixels are identified based on the estimated aleatoric uncertainty of the segmentation and are relabeled to the true value.
Recent studies in big data analytics and natural language processing develop automatic techniques in analyzing sentiment in the social media information. In addition, the growing user base of social media and the high volume of posts also provide valuable sentiment information to predict the price fluctuation of the cryptocurrency. This research is directed to predicting the volatile price movement of cryptocurrency by analyzing the sentiment in social media and finding the correlation between them. While previous work has been developed to analyze sentiment in English social media posts, we propose a method to identify the sentiment of the Chinese social media posts from the most popular Chinese social media platform Sina-Weibo. We develop the pipeline to capture Weibo posts, describe the creation of the crypto-specific sentiment dictionary, and propose a long short-term memory (LSTM) based recurrent neural network along with the historical cryptocurrency price movement to predict the price trend for future time frames. The conducted experiments demonstrate the proposed approach outperforms the state of the art auto regressive based model by 18.5% in precision and 15.4% in recall.