Comparing Prophet and Deep Learning to ARIMA in Forecasting Wholesale Food Prices

Setting sale prices correctly is of great importance for firms, and the study and forecast of prices time series is therefore a relevant topic not only from a data science perspective but also from an economic and applicative one. In this paper we examine different techniques to forecast sale prices applied by an Italian food wholesaler, as a step towards the automation of pricing tasks usually taken care by human workforce. We consider ARIMA models and compare them to Prophet, a scalable forecasting tool by Facebook based on a generalized additive model, and to deep learning models exploiting Long Short--Term Memory (LSTM) and Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs). ARIMA models are frequently used in econometric analyses, providing a good benchmark for the problem under study. Our results indicate that ARIMA models and LSTM neural networks perform similarly for the forecasting task under consideration, while the combination of CNNs and LSTMs attains the best overall accuracy, but requires more time to be tuned. On the contrary, Prophet is quick and easy to use, but considerably less accurate.t overall accuracy, but requires more time to be tuned. On the contrary, Prophet is quick and easy to use, but considerably less accurate.

Oracle Teacher: Towards Better Knowledge Distillation

Knowledge distillation (KD), best known as an effective method for model compression, aims at transferring the knowledge of a bigger network (teacher) to a much smaller network (student). Conventional KD methods usually employ the teacher model trained in a supervised manner, where output labels are treated only as targets. Extending this supervised scheme further, we introduce a new type of teacher model for KD, namely Oracle Teacher, that utilizes the embeddings of both the source inputs and the output labels to extract a more accurate knowledge to be transferred to the student. The proposed model follows the encoder-decoder attention structure of the Transformer network, which allows the model to attend to related information from the output labels. Extensive experiments are conducted on three different sequence learning tasks: speech recognition, scene text recognition, and machine translation. From the experimental results, we empirically show that the proposed model improves the students across these tasks while achieving a considerable speed-up in the teacher model's training time.

Exploring and Mitigating Gender Bias in Recommender Systems with Explicit Feedback

Recommender systems are indispensable because they influence our day-to-day behavior and decisions by giving us personalized suggestions. Services like Kindle, Youtube, and Netflix depend heavily on the performance of their recommender systems to ensure that their users have a good experience and to increase revenues. Despite their popularity, it has been shown that recommender systems reproduce and amplify the bias present in the real world. The resulting feedback creates a self-perpetuating loop that deteriorates the user experience and results in homogenizing recommendations over time. Further, biased recommendations can also reinforce stereotypes based on gender or ethnicity, thus reinforcing the filter bubbles that we live in. In this paper, we address the problem of gender bias in recommender systems with explicit feedback. We propose a model to quantify the gender bias present in book rating datasets and in the recommendations produced by the recommender systems. Our main contribution is to provide a principled approach to mitigate the bias being produced in the recommendations. We theoretically show that the proposed approach provides unbiased recommendations despite biased data. Through empirical evaluation on publicly available book rating datasets, we further show that the proposed model can significantly reduce bias without significant impact on accuracy. Our method is model agnostic and can be applied to any recommender system. To demonstrate the performance of our model, we present the results on four recommender algorithms, two from the K-nearest neighbors family, UserKNN and ItemKNN, and the other two from the matrix factorization family, Alternating least square and Singular value decomposition.

CNN-based Omnidirectional Object Detection for HermesBot Autonomous Delivery Robot with Preliminary Frame Classification

Mobile autonomous robots include numerous sensors for environment perception. Cameras are an essential tool for robot's localization, navigation, and obstacle avoidance. To process a large flow of data from the sensors, it is necessary to optimize algorithms, or to utilize substantial computational power. In our work, we propose an algorithm for optimizing a neural network for object detection using preliminary binary frame classification. An autonomous outdoor mobile robot with 6 rolling-shutter cameras on the perimeter providing a 360-degree field of view was used as the experimental setup. The obtained experimental results revealed that the proposed optimization accelerates the inference time of the neural network in the cases with up to 5 out of 6 cameras containing target objects.

HDR-NeRF: High Dynamic Range Neural Radiance Fields

We present High Dynamic Range Neural Radiance Fields (HDR-NeRF) to recover an HDR radiance field from a set of low dynamic range (LDR) views with different exposures. Using the HDR-NeRF, we are able to generate both novel HDR views and novel LDR views under different exposures. The key to our method is to model the physical imaging process, which dictates that the radiance of a scene point transforms to a pixel value in the LDR image with two implicit functions: a radiance field and a tone mapper. The radiance field encodes the scene radiance (values vary from 0 to +infty), which outputs the density and radiance of a ray by giving corresponding ray origin and ray direction. The tone mapper models the mapping process that a ray hitting on the camera sensor becomes a pixel value. The color of the ray is predicted by feeding the radiance and the corresponding exposure time into the tone mapper. We use the classic volume rendering technique to project the output radiance, colors, and densities into HDR and LDR images, while only the input LDR images are used as the supervision. We collect a new forward-facing HDR dataset to evaluate the proposed method. Experimental results on synthetic and real-world scenes validate that our method can not only accurately control the exposures of synthesized views but also render views with a high dynamic range.

Towards robustness under occlusion for face recognition

In this paper, we evaluate the effects of occlusions in the performance of a face recognition pipeline that uses a ResNet backbone. The classifier was trained on a subset of the CelebA-HQ dataset containing 5,478 images from 307 classes, to achieve top-1 error rate of 17.91%. We designed 8 different occlusion masks which were applied to the input images. This caused a significant drop in the classifier performance: its error rate for each mask became at least two times worse than before. In order to increase robustness under occlusions, we followed two approaches. The first is image inpainting using the pre-trained pluralistic image completion network. The second is Cutmix, a regularization strategy consisting of mixing training images and their labels using rectangular patches, making the classifier more robust against input corruptions. Both strategies revealed effective and interesting results were observed. In particular, the Cutmix approach makes the network more robust without requiring additional steps at the application time, though its training time is considerably longer. Our datasets containing the different occlusion masks as well as their inpainted counterparts are made publicly available to promote research on the field.

Enabling Cell-Free Massive MIMO Systems with Wireless Millimeter Wave Fronthaul

Cell-free massive MIMO systems have promising data rate and uniform coverage gains. These systems, however, typically rely on optical fiber based fronthaul for the communication between the central processing unit (CPU) and the distributed access points (APs), which increases the infrastructure cost, leads to high installation time, and limits the deployment flexibility and adaptability. To address these challenges, this paper proposes two architectures for cell-free massive MIMO systems based on wireless fronthaul that is operating at a \textit{higher-band} compared to the access links: (i) A wireless-only fronthaul architecture where the CPU has a wireless fronthaul link to each AP, and (ii) a mixed-fronthaul architecture where the CPU has a wireless link to each cluster of APs that are connected together via optical fibers. These dual-band architectures ensure high-data rate fronthaul and provide high capability to synchronize the distributed APs. Further, the wireless fronthaul reduces the infrastructure cost and installation time, and enhances the flexibility, adaptability, and scalability of the network deployment. To investigate the achievable data rates with the proposed architectures, we formulate the end-to-end data rate optimization problem accounting for the various practical aspects of the fronthaul and access links. Then, we develop a low-complexity yet efficient joint beamforming and resource allocation solution for the proposed architectures based on user-centric AP grouping. With this solution, we show that the proposed architectures can achieve comparable data rates to those obtained with optical fiber-based fronthaul under realistic assumptions on the fronthaul bandwidth, hardware constraints, and deployment scenarios. This highlights a promising path for realizing the cell-free massive MIMO gains in practice while reducing the infrastructure and deployment overhead.

Conditional Latent Block Model: a Multivariate Time Series Clustering Approach for Autonomous Driving Validation

Autonomous driving systems validation remains one of the biggest challenges car manufacturers must tackle in order to provide safe driverless cars. The high complexity stems from several factors: the multiplicity of vehicles, embedded systems, use cases, and the very high required level of reliability for the driving system to be at least as safe as a human driver. In order to circumvent these issues, large scale simulations reproducing this huge variety of physical conditions are intensively used to test driverless cars. Therefore, the validation step produces a massive amount of data, including many time-indexed ones, to be processed. In this context, building a structure in the feature space is mandatory to interpret the various scenarios. In this work, we propose a new co-clustering approach adapted to high-dimensional time series analysis, that extends the standard model-based co-clustering. The FunCLBM model extends the recently proposed Functional Latent Block Model and allows to create a dependency structure between row and column clusters. This structured partition acts as a feature selection method, that provides several clustering views of a dataset, while discriminating irrelevant features. In this workflow, times series are projected onto a common interpolated low-dimensional frequency space, which allows to optimize the projection basis. In addition, FunCLBM refines the definition of each latent block by performing block-wise dimension reduction and feature selection. We propose a SEM-Gibbs algorithm to infer this model, as well as a dedicated criterion to select the optimal nested partition. Experiments on both simulated and real-case Renault datasets shows the effectiveness of the proposed tools and the adequacy to our use case.

Ene-to-end training of time domain audio separation and recognition

The rising interest in single-channel multi-speaker speech separation sparked development of End-to-End (E2E) approaches to multi-speaker speech recognition. However, up until now, state-of-the-art neural network-based time domain source separation has not yet been combined with E2E speech recognition. We here demonstrate how to combine a separation module based on a Convolutional Time domain Audio Separation Network (Conv-TasNet) with an E2E speech recognizer and how to train such a model jointly by distributing it over multiple GPUs or by approximating truncated back-propagation for the convolutional front-end. To put this work into perspective and illustrate the complexity of the design space, we provide a compact overview of single-channel multi-speaker recognition systems. Our experiments show a word error rate of 11.0% on WSJ0-2mix and indicate that our joint time domain model can yield substantial improvements over cascade DNN-HMM and monolithic E2E frequency domain systems proposed so far.

Real-time Linear Operator Construction and State Estimation with Kalman Filter

Kalman filter is the most powerful tool for estimation of the states of the linear Gaussian system. In addition, used this method, expectation maximization algorithm can estimate the parameters of the model. However, this algorithm cannot function in real-time situation. Thus, we propose new method that can estimate the transition matrices and the states of the system in real-time. This method utilizes two ideas: estimation in observation space and online learning framework. Applied to damped oscillation model, we have obtained extraordinary performance to estimate the matrices. Also, introduced localization and spatially uniformity to the method, we have demonstrated that our methods could reduce noise in high-dimensional spatio-temporal data. Moreover, this methodology has potential in areas such as weather forecast and vector field analysis.