Factor-augmented tree ensembles

This article proposes an extension for standard time-series regression tree modelling to handle predictors that show irregularities such as missing observations, periodic patterns in the form of seasonality and cycles, and non-stationary trends. In doing so, this approach permits also to enrich the information set used in tree-based autoregressions via unobserved components. Furthermore, this manuscript also illustrates a relevant approach to control over-fitting based on ensemble learning and recent developments in the jackknife literature. This is strongly beneficial when the number of observed time periods is small and advantageous compared to benchmark resampling methods. Empirical results show the benefits of predicting equity squared returns as a function of their own past and a set of macroeconomic data via factor-augmented tree ensembles, with respect to simpler benchmarks. As a by-product, this approach allows to study the real-time importance of economic news on equity volatility.

Learning the Gap in the Day-Ahead and Real-Time Locational Marginal Prices in the Electricity Market

In this paper, statistical machine learning algorithms, as well as deep neural networks, are used to predict the values of the price gap between day-ahead and real-time electricity markets. Several exogenous features are collected and impacts of these features are examined to capture the best relations between the features and the target variable. Ensemble learning algorithm namely the Random Forest issued to calculate the probability distribution of the predicted electricity prices for day-ahead and real-time markets. Long-Short-Term-Memory (LSTM) is utilized to capture long term dependencies in predicting direct gap values between mentioned markets and the benefits of directly predicting the gap price rather than subtracting the predictions of day-ahead and real-time markets are illustrated. Case studies are implemented on the California Independent System Operator (CAISO) electricity market data for a two years period. The proposed methods are evaluated and neural networks showed promising results in predicting the exact values of the gap.

Improving performance of aircraft detection in satellite imagery while limiting the labelling effort: Hybrid active learning

The earth observation industry provides satellite imagery with high spatial resolution and short revisit time. To allow efficient operational employment of these images, automating certain tasks has become necessary. In the defense domain, aircraft detection on satellite imagery is a valuable tool for analysts. Obtaining high performance detectors on such a task can only be achieved by leveraging deep learning and thus us-ing a large amount of labeled data. To obtain labels of a high enough quality, the knowledge of military experts is needed.We propose a hybrid clustering active learning method to select the most relevant data to label, thus limiting the amount of data required and further improving the performances. It combines diversity- and uncertainty-based active learning selection methods. For aircraft detection by segmentation, we show that this method can provide better or competitive results compared to other active learning methods.

MFA: TDNN with Multi-scale Frequency-channel Attention for Text-independent Speaker Verification with Short Utterances

The time delay neural network (TDNN) represents one of the state-of-the-art of neural solutions to text-independent speaker verification. However, they require a large number of filters to capture the speaker characteristics at any local frequency region. In addition, the performance of such systems may degrade under short utterance scenarios. To address these issues, we propose a multi-scale frequency-channel attention (MFA), where we characterize speakers at different scales through a novel dual-path design which consists of a convolutional neural network and TDNN. We evaluate the proposed MFA on the VoxCeleb database and observe that the proposed framework with MFA can achieve state-of-the-art performance while reducing parameters and computation complexity. Further, the MFA mechanism is found to be effective for speaker verification with short test utterances.

Unfreezing Social Navigation: Dynamical Systems based Compliance for Contact Control in Robot Navigation

Large efforts have focused on ensuring that the controllers for mobile service robots follow proxemics and other social rules to ensure both safe and socially acceptable distance to pedestrians. Nonetheless, involuntary contact may be unavoidable when the robot travels in crowded areas or when encountering adversarial pedestrians. Freezing the robot in response to contact might be detrimental to bystanders' safety and prevents it from achieving its task. Unavoidable contacts must hence be controlled to ensure the safe and smooth travelling of robots in pedestrian alleys. We present a force-limited and obstacle avoidance controller integrated into a time-invariant dynamical system (DS) in a closed-loop force controller that let the robot react instantaneously to contact or to the sudden appearance of pedestrians. Mitigating the risk of collision is done by modulating the velocity commands upon detecting a contact and by absorbing part of the contact force through active compliant control when the robot bumps inadvertently against a pedestrian. We evaluated our method with a personal mobility robot -- Qolo -- showing contact mitigation with passive and active compliance. We showed the robot able to overcome an adversarial pedestrian within 9 N of the set limit contact force for speeds under 1 m/s. Moreover, we evaluated integrated obstacle avoidance proving the ability to advance without incurring any other collision.

PyTorch Geometric Signed Directed: A Survey and Software on Graph Neural Networks for Signed and Directed Graphs

Signed networks are ubiquitous in many real-world applications (e.g., social networks encoding trust/distrust relationships, correlation networks arising from time series data). While many signed networks are directed, there is a lack of survey papers and software packages on graph neural networks (GNNs) specially designed for directed networks. In this paper, we present PyTorch Geometric Signed Directed, a survey and software on GNNs for signed and directed networks. We review typical tasks, loss functions and evaluation metrics in the analysis of signed and directed networks, discuss data used in related experiments, and provide an overview of methods proposed. The deep learning framework consists of easy-to-use GNN models, synthetic and real-world data, as well as task-specific evaluation metrics and loss functions for signed and directed networks. The software is presented in a modular fashion, so that signed and directed networks can also be treated separately. As an extension library for PyTorch Geometric, our proposed software is maintained with open-source releases, detailed documentation, continuous integration, unit tests and code coverage checks. Our code is publicly available at \url{https://github.com/SherylHYX/pytorch_geometric_signed_directed}.

Leaf: Multiple-Choice Question Generation

Testing with quiz questions has proven to be an effective way to assess and improve the educational process. However, manually creating quizzes is tedious and time-consuming. To address this challenge, we present Leaf, a system for generating multiple-choice questions from factual text. In addition to being very well suited for the classroom, Leaf could also be used in an industrial setting, e.g., to facilitate onboarding and knowledge sharing, or as a component of chatbots, question answering systems, or Massive Open Online Courses (MOOCs). The code and the demo are available on https://github.com/KristiyanVachev/Leaf-Question-Generation.

Multi-Material Blind Beam Hardening Correction Based on Non-Linearity Adjustment of Projections

Beam hardening (BH) is one of the major artifacts that severely reduces the quality of Computed Tomography (CT) imaging. In a polychromatic X-ray beam, since low-energy photons are more preferentially absorbed, the attenuation of the beam is no longer a linear function of the absorber thickness. The existing BH correction methods either require a given material, which might be unfeasible in reality, or they require a long computation time. This work aims to propose a fast and accurate BH correction method that requires no prior knowledge of the materials and corrects first and higher-order BH artifacts. In the first step, a wide sweep of the material is performed based on an experimentally measured look-up table to obtain the closest estimate of the material. Then the non-linearity effect of the BH is corrected by adding the difference between the estimated monochromatic and the polychromatic simulated projections of the segmented image. The estimated monochromatic projection is simulated by selecting the energy from the polychromatic spectrum which produces the lowest mean square error (MSE) with the acquired projection from the scanner. The polychromatic projection is estimated by minimizing the difference between the acquired projection and the weighted sum of the simulated polychromatic projections using different spectra of different filtration. To evaluate the proposed BH correction method, we have conducted extensive experiments on the real-world CT data. Compared to the state-of-the-art empirical BH correction method, the experiments show that the proposed method can highly reduce the BH artifacts without prior knowledge of the materials.

Automated Catheter Tip Repositioning for Intra-cardiac Echocardiography

Purpose: Intra-Cardiac Echocardiography (ICE) is a powerful imaging modality for guiding cardiac electrophysiology and structural heart interventions. ICE provides real-time observation of anatomy and devices, while enabling direct monitoring of potential complications. In single operator settings, the physician needs to switch back-and-forth between the ICE catheter and therapy device, making continuous ICE support impossible. Two operators setup are therefore sometimes implemented, with the challenge of increase room occupation and cost. Two operator setups are sometimes implemented, but increase procedural costs and room occupation. Methods: ICE catheter robotic control system is developed with automated catheter tip repositioning (i.e. view recovery) method, which can reproduce important views previously navigated to and saved by the user. The performance of the proposed method is demonstrated and evaluated in a combination of heart phantom and animal experiments. Results: Automated ICE view recovery achieved catheter tip position accuracy of 2.09 +/-0.90 mm and catheter image orientation accuracy of 3.93 +/- 2.07 degree in animal studies, and 0.67 +/- 0.79 mm and 0.37 +/- 0.19 degree in heart phantom studies, respectively. Our proposed method is also successfully used during transeptal puncture in animals without complications, showing the possibility for fluoro-less transeptal puncture with ICE catheter robot. Conclusion: Robotic ICE imaging has the potential to provide precise and reproducible anatomical views, which can reduce overall execution time, labor burden of procedures, and x-ray usage for a range of cardiac procedures. Keywords: Automated View Recovery, Path Planning, Intra-cardiac echocardiography (ICE), Catheter, Tendon-driven manipulator, Cardiac Imaging

SurvODE: Extrapolating Gene Expression Distribution for Early Cancer Identification

With the increasingly available large-scale cancer genomics datasets, machine learning approaches have played an important role in revealing novel insights into cancer development. Existing methods have shown encouraging performance in identifying genes that are predictive for cancer survival, but are still limited in modeling the distribution over genes. Here, we proposed a novel method that can simulate the gene expression distribution at any given time point, including those that are out of the range of the observed time points. In order to model the irregular time series where each patient is one observation, we integrated a neural ordinary differential equation (neural ODE) with cox regression into our framework. We evaluated our method on eight cancer types on TCGA and observed a substantial improvement over existing approaches. Our visualization results and further analysis indicate how our method can be used to simulate expression at the early cancer stage, offering the possibility for early cancer identification.