In online randomized experiments or A/B tests, accurate predictions of participant inclusion rates are of paramount importance. These predictions not only guide experimenters in optimizing the experiment's duration but also enhance the precision of treatment effect estimates. In this paper we present a novel, straightforward, and scalable Bayesian nonparametric approach for predicting the rate at which individuals will be exposed to interventions within the realm of online A/B testing. Our approach stands out by offering dual prediction capabilities: it forecasts both the quantity of new customers expected in future time windows and, unlike available alternative methods, the number of times they will be observed. We derive closed-form expressions for the posterior distributions of the quantities needed to form predictions about future user activity, thereby bypassing the need for numerical algorithms such as Markov chain Monte Carlo. After a comprehensive exposition of our model, we test its performance on experiments on real and simulated data, where we show its superior performance with respect to existing alternatives in the literature.
This study presents a pioneering effort to replicate human neuromechanical experiments within a virtual environment utilising a digital human model. By employing MyoSuite, a state-of-the-art human motion simulation platform enhanced by Reinforcement Learning (RL), multiple types of impedance identification experiments of human elbow were replicated on a musculoskeletal model. We compared the elbow movement controlled by an RL agent with the motion of an actual human elbow in terms of the impedance identified in torque-perturbation experiments. The findings reveal that the RL agent exhibits higher elbow impedance to stabilise the target elbow motion under perturbation than a human does, likely due to its shorter reaction time and superior sensory capabilities. This study serves as a preliminary exploration into the potential of virtual environment simulations for neuromechanical research, offering an initial yet promising alternative to conventional experimental approaches. An RL-controlled digital twin with complete musculoskeletal models of the human body is expected to be useful in designing experiments and validating rehabilitation theory before experiments on real human subjects.
In the 6G era, real-time radio resource monitoring and management are urged to support diverse wireless-empowered applications. This calls for fast and accurate estimation on the distribution of the radio resources, which is usually represented by the spatial signal power strength over the geographical environment, known as a radio map. In this paper, we present a cooperative radio map estimation (CRME) approach enabled by the generative adversarial network (GAN), called as GAN-CRME, which features fast and accurate radio map estimation without the transmitters' information. The radio map is inferred by exploiting the interaction between distributed received signal strength (RSS) measurements at mobile users and the geographical map using a deep neural network estimator, resulting in low data-acquisition cost and computational complexity. Moreover, a GAN-based learning algorithm is proposed to boost the inference capability of the deep neural network estimator by exploiting the power of generative AI. Simulation results showcase that the proposed GAN-CRME is even capable of coarse error-correction when the geographical map information is inaccurate.
Semi-structured interviews (SSIs) are a commonly employed data-collection method in healthcare research, offering in-depth qualitative insights into subject experiences. Despite their value, the manual analysis of SSIs is notoriously time-consuming and labor-intensive, in part due to the difficulty of extracting and categorizing emotional responses, and challenges in scaling human evaluation for large populations. In this study, we develop RACER, a Large Language Model (LLM) based expert-guided automated pipeline that efficiently converts raw interview transcripts into insightful domain-relevant themes and sub-themes. We used RACER to analyze SSIs conducted with 93 healthcare professionals and trainees to assess the broad personal and professional mental health impacts of the COVID-19 crisis. RACER achieves moderately high agreement with two human evaluators (72%), which approaches the human inter-rater agreement (77%). Interestingly, LLMs and humans struggle with similar content involving nuanced emotional, ambivalent/dialectical, and psychological statements. Our study highlights the opportunities and challenges in using LLMs to improve research efficiency and opens new avenues for scalable analysis of SSIs in healthcare research.
Recent advances in vision-language models have combined contrastive approaches with generative methods to achieve state-of-the-art (SOTA) on downstream inference tasks like zero-shot image classification. However, a persistent issue of these models for image classification is their out-of-distribution (OOD) generalization capabilities. We first show that when an OOD data point is misclassified, the correct class can be typically found in the Top-K predicted classes. In order to steer the model prediction toward the correct class within the top predicted classes, we propose the Image-Caption Encoding (ICE) method, a straightforward approach that directly enforces consistency between the image-conditioned and caption-conditioned predictions at evaluation time only. Intuitively, we take advantage of unique properties of the generated captions to guide our local search for the correct class label within the Top-K predicted classes. We show that our method can be easily combined with other SOTA methods to enhance Top-1 OOD accuracies by 0.5% on average and up to 3% on challenging datasets. Our code: https://github.com/Chris210634/ice
Which phonemes convey more speaker traits is a long-standing question, and various perception experiments were conducted with human subjects. For speaker recognition, studies were conducted with the conventional statistical models and the drawn conclusions are more or less consistent with the perception results. However, which phonemes are more important with modern deep neural models is still unexplored, due to the opaqueness of the decision process. This paper conducts a novel study for the attribution of phonemes with two types of deep speaker models that are based on TDNN and CNN respectively, from the perspective of model explanation. Specifically, we conducted the study by two post-explanation methods: LayerCAM and Time Align Occlusion (TAO). Experimental results showed that: (1) At the population level, vowels are more important than consonants, confirming the human perception studies. However, fricatives are among the most unimportant phonemes, which contrasts with previous studies. (2) At the speaker level, a large between-speaker variation is observed regarding phoneme importance, indicating that whether a phoneme is important or not is largely speaker-dependent.
The recent breakthrough of Transformers in deep learning has drawn significant attention of the time series community due to their ability to capture long-range dependencies. However, like other deep learning models, Transformers face limitations in time series prediction, including insufficient temporal understanding, generalization challenges, and data shift issues for the domains with limited data. Additionally, addressing the issue of catastrophic forgetting, where models forget previously learned information when exposed to new data, is another critical aspect that requires attention in enhancing the robustness of Transformers for time series tasks. To address these limitations, in this paper, we pre-train the time series Transformer model on a source domain with sufficient data and fine-tune it on the target domain with limited data. We introduce the \emph{One-step fine-tuning} approach, adding some percentage of source domain data to the target domains, providing the model with diverse time series instances. We then fine-tune the pre-trained model using a gradual unfreezing technique. This helps enhance the model's performance in time series prediction for domains with limited data. Extensive experimental results on two real-world datasets show that our approach improves over the state-of-the-art baselines by 4.35% and 11.54% for indoor temperature and wind power prediction, respectively.
Recently, orthogonal time frequency space (OTFS) modulation has garnered considerable attention due to its robustness against doubly-selective wireless channels. In this paper, we propose a low-complexity iterative successive interference cancellation based minimum mean squared error (SIC-MMSE) detection algorithm for zero-padded OTFS (ZP-OTFS) modulation. In the proposed algorithm, signals are detected based on layers processed by multiple SIC-MMSE linear filters for each sub-channel, with interference on the targeted signal layer being successively canceled either by hard or soft information. To reduce the complexity of computing individual layer filter coefficients, we also propose a novel filter coefficients recycling approach in place of generating the exact form of MMSE filter weights. Moreover, we design a joint detection and decoding algorithm for ZP-OTFS to enhance error performance. Compared to the conventional SIC-MMSE detection, our proposed algorithms outperform other linear detectors, e.g., maximal ratio combining (MRC), for ZP-OTFS with up to 3 dB gain while maintaining comparable computation complexity.
Multiscale problems are challenging for neural network-based discretizations of differential equations, such as physics-informed neural networks (PINNs). This can be (partly) attributed to the so-called spectral bias of neural networks. To improve the performance of PINNs for time-dependent problems, a combination of multifidelity stacking PINNs and domain decomposition-based finite basis PINNs are employed. In particular, to learn the high-fidelity part of the multifidelity model, a domain decomposition in time is employed. The performance is investigated for a pendulum and a two-frequency problem as well as the Allen-Cahn equation. It can be observed that the domain decomposition approach clearly improves the PINN and stacking PINN approaches.
Diffusion models have emerged as a powerful tool rivaling GANs in generating high-quality samples with improved fidelity, flexibility, and robustness. A key component of these models is to learn the score function through score matching. Despite empirical success on various tasks, it remains unclear whether gradient-based algorithms can learn the score function with a provable accuracy. As a first step toward answering this question, this paper establishes a mathematical framework for analyzing score estimation using neural networks trained by gradient descent. Our analysis covers both the optimization and the generalization aspects of the learning procedure. In particular, we propose a parametric form to formulate the denoising score-matching problem as a regression with noisy labels. Compared to the standard supervised learning setup, the score-matching problem introduces distinct challenges, including unbounded input, vector-valued output, and an additional time variable, preventing existing techniques from being applied directly. In this paper, we show that with a properly designed neural network architecture, the score function can be accurately approximated by a reproducing kernel Hilbert space induced by neural tangent kernels. Furthermore, by applying an early-stopping rule for gradient descent and leveraging certain coupling arguments between neural network training and kernel regression, we establish the first generalization error (sample complexity) bounds for learning the score function despite the presence of noise in the observations. Our analysis is grounded in a novel parametric form of the neural network and an innovative connection between score matching and regression analysis, facilitating the application of advanced statistical and optimization techniques.