ML-Based Approach for NFL Defensive Pass Interference Prediction Using GPS Tracking Data

Defensive Pass Interference (DPI) is one of the most impactful penalties in the NFL. DPI is a spot foul, yielding an automatic first down to the team in possession. With such an influence on the game, referees have no room for a mistake. It is also a very rare event, which happens 1-2 times per 100 pass attempts. With technology improving and many IoT wearables being put on the athletes to collect valuable data, there is a solid ground for applying machine learning (ML) techniques to improve every aspect of the game. The work presented here is the first attempt in predicting DPI using player tracking GPS data. The data we used was collected by NFL's Next Gen Stats throughout the 2018 regular season. We present ML models for highly imbalanced time-series binary classification: LSTM, GRU, ANN, and Multivariate LSTM-FCN. Results showed that using GPS tracking data to predict DPI has limited success. The best performing models had high recall with low precision which resulted in the classification of many false positive examples. Looking closely at the data confirmed that there is just not enough information to determine whether a foul was committed. This study might serve as a filter for multi-step pipeline for video sequence classification which could be able to solve this problem.

Fluctuation-driven initialization for spiking neural network training

Spiking neural networks (SNNs) underlie low-power, fault-tolerant information processing in the brain and could constitute a power-efficient alternative to conventional deep neural networks when implemented on suitable neuromorphic hardware accelerators. However, instantiating SNNs that solve complex computational tasks in-silico remains a significant challenge. Surrogate gradient (SG) techniques have emerged as a standard solution for training SNNs end-to-end. Still, their success depends on synaptic weight initialization, similar to conventional artificial neural networks (ANNs). Yet, unlike in the case of ANNs, it remains elusive what constitutes a good initial state for an SNN. Here, we develop a general initialization strategy for SNNs inspired by the fluctuation-driven regime commonly observed in the brain. Specifically, we derive practical solutions for data-dependent weight initialization that ensure fluctuation-driven firing in the widely used leaky integrate-and-fire (LIF) neurons. We empirically show that SNNs initialized following our strategy exhibit superior learning performance when trained with SGs. These findings generalize across several datasets and SNN architectures, including fully connected, deep convolutional, recurrent, and more biologically plausible SNNs obeying Dale's law. Thus fluctuation-driven initialization provides a practical, versatile, and easy-to-implement strategy for improving SNN training performance on diverse tasks in neuromorphic engineering and computational neuroscience.

Adversarial Mutual Leakage Network for Cell Image Segmentation

We propose three segmentation methods using GAN and information leakage between generator and discriminator. First, we propose an Adversarial Training Attention Module (ATA-Module) that uses an attention mechanism from the discriminator to the generator to enhance and leak important information in the discriminator. ATA-Module transmits important information to the generator from the discriminator. Second, we propose a Top-Down Pixel-wise Difficulty Attention Module (Top-Down PDA-Module) that leaks an attention map based on pixel-wise difficulty in the generator to the discriminator. The generator trains to focus on pixel-wise difficulty, and the discriminator uses the difficulty information leaked from the generator for classification. Finally, we propose an Adversarial Mutual Leakage Network (AML-Net) that mutually leaks the information each other between the generator and the discriminator. By using the information of the other network, it is able to train more efficiently than ordinary segmentation models. Three proposed methods have been evaluated on two datasets for cell image segmentation. The experimental results show that the segmentation accuracy of AML-Net was much improved in comparison with conventional methods.

Sequential- and Parallel- Constrained Max-value Entropy Search via Information Lower Bound

Recently, several Bayesian optimization (BO) methods have been extended to the expensive black-box optimization problem with unknown constraints, which is an important problem that appears frequently in practice. We focus on an information-theoretic approach called Max-value Entropy Search (MES) whose superior performance has been repeatedly shown in BO literature. Since existing MES-based constrained BO is restricted to only one constraint, we first extend it to multiple constraints, but we found that this approach can cause negative approximate values for the mutual information, which can result in unreasonable decisions. In this paper, we employ a different approximation strategy that is based on a lower bound of the mutual information, and propose a novel constrained BO method called Constrained Max-value Entropy Search via Information lower BOund (CMES-IBO). Our approximate mutual information derived from the lower bound has a simple closed-form that is guaranteed to be nonnegative, and we show that irrational behavior caused by the negative value can be avoided. Furthermore, by using conditional mutual information, we extend our methods to the parallel setting in which multiple queries can be issued simultaneously. Finally, we demonstrate the effectiveness of our proposed methods by benchmark functions and real-world applications to materials science.

Applying Automatic Text Summarization for Fake News Detection

The distribution of fake news is not a new but a rapidly growing problem. The shift to news consumption via social media has been one of the drivers for the spread of misleading and deliberately wrong information, as in addition to it of easy use there is rarely any veracity monitoring. Due to the harmful effects of such fake news on society, the detection of these has become increasingly important. We present an approach to the problem that combines the power of transformer-based language models while simultaneously addressing one of their inherent problems. Our framework, CMTR-BERT, combines multiple text representations, with the goal of circumventing sequential limits and related loss of information the underlying transformer architecture typically suffers from. Additionally, it enables the incorporation of contextual information. Extensive experiments on two very different, publicly available datasets demonstrates that our approach is able to set new state-of-the-art performance benchmarks. Apart from the benefit of using automatic text summarization techniques we also find that the incorporation of contextual information contributes to performance gains.

Multi-Scale Spatial Temporal Graph Convolutional Network for Skeleton-Based Action Recognition

Graph convolutional networks have been widely used for skeleton-based action recognition due to their excellent modeling ability of non-Euclidean data. As the graph convolution is a local operation, it can only utilize the short-range joint dependencies and short-term trajectory but fails to directly model the distant joints relations and long-range temporal information that are vital to distinguishing various actions. To solve this problem, we present a multi-scale spatial graph convolution (MS-GC) module and a multi-scale temporal graph convolution (MT-GC) module to enrich the receptive field of the model in spatial and temporal dimensions. Concretely, the MS-GC and MT-GC modules decompose the corresponding local graph convolution into a set of sub-graph convolution, forming a hierarchical residual architecture. Without introducing additional parameters, the features will be processed with a series of sub-graph convolutions, and each node could complete multiple spatial and temporal aggregations with its neighborhoods. The final equivalent receptive field is accordingly enlarged, which is capable of capturing both short- and long-range dependencies in spatial and temporal domains. By coupling these two modules as a basic block, we further propose a multi-scale spatial temporal graph convolutional network (MST-GCN), which stacks multiple blocks to learn effective motion representations for action recognition. The proposed MST-GCN achieves remarkable performance on three challenging benchmark datasets, NTU RGB+D, NTU-120 RGB+D and Kinetics-Skeleton, for skeleton-based action recognition.

Approximate Vanishing Ideal Computations at Scale

The approximate vanishing ideal of a set of points $X = \{\mathbf{x}_1, \ldots, \mathbf{x}_m\}\subseteq [0,1]^n$ is the set of polynomials that approximately evaluate to $0$ over all points $\mathbf{x} \in X$ and admits an efficient representation by a finite set of polynomials called generators. Algorithms that construct this set of generators are extensively studied but ultimately find little practical application because their computational complexities are thought to be superlinear in the number of samples $m$. In this paper, we focus on scaling up the Oracle Approximate Vanishing Ideal algorithm (OAVI), one of the most powerful of these methods. We prove that the computational complexity of OAVI is not superlinear but linear in the number of samples $m$ and polynomial in the number of features $n$, making OAVI an attractive preprocessing technique for large-scale machine learning. To further accelerate OAVI's training time, we propose two changes: First, as the name suggests, OAVI makes repeated oracle calls to convex solvers throughout its execution. By replacing the Pairwise Conditional Gradients algorithm, one of the standard solvers used in OAVI, with the faster Blended Pairwise Conditional Gradients algorithm, we illustrate how OAVI directly benefits from advancements in the study of convex solvers. Second, we propose Inverse Hessian Boosting (IHB): IHB exploits the fact that OAVI repeatedly solves quadratic convex optimization problems that differ only by very little and whose solutions can be written in closed form using inverse Hessian information. By efficiently updating the inverse of the Hessian matrix, the convex optimization problems can be solved almost instantly, accelerating OAVI's training time by up to multiple orders of magnitude. We complement our theoretical analysis with extensive numerical experiments on data sets whose sample numbers are in the millions.

Information Bottleneck Attribution for Visual Explanations of Diagnosis and Prognosis

Visual explanation methods have an important role in the prognosis of the patients where the annotated data is limited or not available. There have been several attempts to use gradient-based attribution methods to localize pathology from medical scans without using segmentation labels. This research direction has been impeded by the lack of robustness and reliability. These methods are highly sensitive to the network parameters. In this study, we introduce a robust visual explanation method to address this problem for medical applications. We provide a highly innovative algorithm to quantifying lesions in the lungs caused by the Covid-19 with high accuracy and robustness without using dense segmentation labels. Inspired by the information bottleneck concept, we mask the neural network representation with noise to find out important regions. This approach overcomes the drawbacks of commonly used Grad-Cam and its derived algorithms. The premise behind our proposed strategy is that the information flow is minimized while ensuring the classifier prediction stays similar. Our findings indicate that the bottleneck condition provides a more stable and robust severity estimation than the similar attribution methods.

Mutual Information Constraints for Monte-Carlo Objectives

A common failure mode of density models trained as variational autoencoders is to model the data without relying on their latent variables, rendering these variables useless. Two contributing factors, the underspecification of the model and the looseness of the variational lower bound, have been studied separately in the literature. We weave these two strands of research together, specifically the tighter bounds of Monte-Carlo objectives and constraints on the mutual information between the observable and the latent variables. Estimating the mutual information as the average Kullback-Leibler divergence between the easily available variational posterior $q(z|x)$ and the prior does not work with Monte-Carlo objectives because $q(z|x)$ is no longer a direct approximation to the model's true posterior $p(z|x)$. Hence, we construct estimators of the Kullback-Leibler divergence of the true posterior from the prior by recycling samples used in the objective, with which we train models of continuous and discrete latents at much improved rate-distortion and no posterior collapse. While alleviated, the tradeoff between modelling the data and using the latents still remains, and we urge for evaluating inference methods across a range of mutual information values.

The Dual Information Bottleneck

The Information Bottleneck (IB) framework is a general characterization of optimal representations obtained using a principled approach for balancing accuracy and complexity. Here we present a new framework, the Dual Information Bottleneck (dualIB), which resolves some of the known drawbacks of the IB. We provide a theoretical analysis of the dualIB framework; (i) solving for the structure of its solutions (ii) unraveling its superiority in optimizing the mean prediction error exponent and (iii) demonstrating its ability to preserve exponential forms of the original distribution. To approach large scale problems, we present a novel variational formulation of the dualIB for Deep Neural Networks. In experiments on several data-sets, we compare it to a variational form of the IB. This exposes superior Information Plane properties of the dualIB and its potential in improvement of the error.