Kernel-based Operator Learning: Error Analysis, Budget Allocation, and a Physics-Informed Extension

We study kernel-based operator learning in a two-stage sampling framework, where an offline kernel regression operator learns a discretized representation of the target operator from input-output pairs and an online kernel reconstruction operator recovers the output function from predicted observations. Our main theoretical contribution is an explicit budget allocation condition relating the number $N$ of training pairs, the number $n$ of input observations, and the output resolution $m$. The condition is derived from a coupled error analysis that interprets the surrogate as a reconstruction from approximate data. This yields a decomposition of the total error into reconstruction and learning contributions that can be analyzed independently. As a consequence, we obtain quantitative scaling laws describing how $N$, $n$, and $m$ must be coupled to guarantee convergence and to balance offline learning and online reconstruction errors. The resulting estimates extend previous analyses of kernel-based operator learning. We further introduce a physics-informed extension that incorporates knowledge of the underlying PDE at evaluation time. Rather than encoding constraints directly into the kernel, we augment the online reconstruction step by penalizing PDE residuals at collocation points. The method requires no retraining for new inputs. Numerical experiments illustrate the theoretical findings and demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed physics-informed reconstruction strategy.